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5 214 900 inhabitants at the turn of the year
statistikk
2015-12-17T10:00:00.000Z
Population;Immigration and immigrants;Population
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folkemengde, Population, population, inhabitants, mean population, increase in population, marital status (for example married, single, divorced), age, sexChildren, families and households, Population, Population count, Immigration and immigrants, Population
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Population1 January 2016, estimated

In December each year, Statistics Norway calculates the projected population for the New Year. These figures are only applicable in the period from December to February, with final figures being published in February .

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5 214 900 inhabitants at the turn of the year

The projected population growth from January 2015 to January 2016 is estimated to be 49 100, or 0.95 per cent. This is a smaller growth than the preceding year, when the population growth was 56 700. The population of Norway is expected to reach 5 214 900 by 1 January 2016.

Estimated population growth and population. The whole country and the ten largest municipalities.
2015
Population 1st January. Final figuresEstimated populationEstimated population 31st DecemberEstimated population growth. Per centba
The whole country5 165 80249 0885 214 8901.0
Oslo647 67611 173658 8491.7
Bergen275 1122 783277 8951.0
Trondheim184 9602 221187 1811.2
Stavanger132 102580132 6820.4
Bærum120 6851 636122 3211.4
Kristiansand87 44692888 3741.1
Fredrikstad78 15980378 9621.0
Sandnes73 6241 33174 9551.8
Tromsø72 68187573 5561.2
Drammen67 01674967 7651.1
Figure 1. Excess of births, net migration and population growth. The whole country

About 63 per cent of the population growth will be due to a net in-migration surplus from abroad, and 37 per cent of the growth will be due to a birth surplus. The net in-migration from abroad has decreased this year to date, and is a result of lower immigration and higher emigration. Asylum seekers without a residence permit are not included in this estimation.

The net migration, which is estimated at 63 per cent of the population growth, will represent a smaller part of the population growth in 2015 than in the years 2007-2014 when the net migration in some years represented over 70 per cent of the population growth.

The net migration from abroad is expected to be around 30 900, which is 7 200 lower than 2014. In the peak years 2011 and 2012, the net migration was highest with over 47 000 each year.

The estimated 18 100 birth excess will be somewhat lower than the previous year, but will nevertheless represent a bigger part of the total population growth due to the lower net in-migration.

About the estimationsOpen and readClose

The population is estimated for the country as a whole and at county and municipality level. It is based on information from the population register, using data on births, deaths and migration up to 1 December 2015. The population growth in December is estimated using approximately the same relative growth as in December 2014. If the level of births, deaths and migration changes markedly in December this year compared to last year, the population will vary correspondingly.

For some municipalities, estimated figures as of 1 January 2016 may thus seem to break with the trend so far this year, but this is due to the estimation method used. This is especially visible in small municipalities, where the figures must be regarded as a preliminary estimate.