Updated
Next update
Key figures
approx. 6
million inhabitants expected in Norway in 2040 (main alternative)
See selected tables from this statistics
Table 1
Population projections. Key figures
| Registered 20171 | Projected main alternative (MMMM)2 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 2040 | 2060 | ||
| 1Total population registered per January 1 2018. | ||||
| 2Each alternative is described by four letters in the following order: fertility, life expectancy, internal migration and immigration. M = medium, L = low and H = high. As projected numbers are inherently uncertain, they have been rounded. | ||||
| 3The life expectancy estimates are somewhat lower in the projections than in the genereal population statistics, as the projections estimate life expectancy based on age at the end of the year and not at time of death. Furthermore, the formula used to estimate death rates is also slightly different, as we employ an exponential model in the projections. | ||||
| 4The numbers for immigration and emigration in the projections do not include multiple moves to and from Norway during the same year for an individual. The numbers are thus lower than the immigration and emigration numbers in the general population statistics. The numbers for net migration are, however, comparable. | ||||
| Total population | 5 295 619 | 5 367 700 | 6 056 200 | 6 510 100 |
| Deaths | 40 774 | 40 800 | 53 600 | 63 000 |
| Life expectancy at birth men3 | 80.9 | 81.6 | 85.4 | 88.4 |
| Life expectancy at birth women3 | 84.3 | 84.7 | 87.8 | 90.3 |
| Live births | 56 633 | 57 400 | 63 900 | 65 900 |
| Total fertility rate | 1.62 | 1.60 | 1.76 | 1.76 |
| Immigration4 | 56 400 | 51 400 | 48 900 | 49 000 |
| Emigration4 | 35 058 | 32 200 | 31 600 | 31 900 |
| Net migration | 21 342 | 19 200 | 17 300 | 17 100 |
Table 2
Population January 1. First year registered, then projected in three alternatives to 2100
| Main alternative (MMMM) | Low national growth LLML | High national growth HHMH | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Each alternative is described by four letters in the following order: fertility, life expectancy, internal migration and immigration. M = medium, L = low and H = high. As projected numbers are inherently uncertain, they have been rounded to the nearest thousand. | |||
| 2018 | 5 295 619 | 5 295 619 | 5 295 619 |
| 2019 | 5 332 000 | 5 322 000 | 5 340 000 |
| 2020 | 5 368 000 | 5 347 000 | 5 387 000 |
| 2021 | 5 403 000 | 5 371 000 | 5 436 000 |
| 2022 | 5 440 000 | 5 396 000 | 5 486 000 |
| 2023 | 5 477 000 | 5 421 000 | 5 537 000 |
| 2024 | 5 514 000 | 5 445 000 | 5 588 000 |
| 2025 | 5 551 000 | 5 470 000 | 5 641 000 |
| 2026 | 5 588 000 | 5 494 000 | 5 694 000 |
| 2027 | 5 625 000 | 5 518 000 | 5 748 000 |
| 2028 | 5 662 000 | 5 541 000 | 5 804 000 |
| 2029 | 5 699 000 | 5 564 000 | 5 860 000 |
| 2030 | 5 735 000 | 5 585 000 | 5 917 000 |
| 2031 | 5 771 000 | 5 606 000 | 5 975 000 |
| 2032 | 5 807 000 | 5 625 000 | 6 032 000 |
| 2033 | 5 841 000 | 5 644 000 | 6 090 000 |
| 2034 | 5 874 000 | 5 661 000 | 6 148 000 |
| 2035 | 5 907 000 | 5 678 000 | 6 205 000 |
| 2036 | 5 938 000 | 5 693 000 | 6 263 000 |
| 2037 | 5 969 000 | 5 707 000 | 6 320 000 |
| 2038 | 5 999 000 | 5 720 000 | 6 377 000 |
| 2039 | 6 028 000 | 5 733 000 | 6 434 000 |
| 2040 | 6 056 000 | 5 745 000 | 6 492 000 |
| 2041 | 6 084 000 | 5 755 000 | 6 549 000 |
| 2042 | 6 111 000 | 5 765 000 | 6 607 000 |
| 2043 | 6 137 000 | 5 774 000 | 6 664 000 |
| 2044 | 6 162 000 | 5 782 000 | 6 722 000 |
| 2045 | 6 187 000 | 5 789 000 | 6 780 000 |
| 2046 | 6 211 000 | 5 795 000 | 6 839 000 |
| 2047 | 6 235 000 | 5 800 000 | 6 898 000 |
| 2048 | 6 258 000 | 5 805 000 | 6 957 000 |
| 2049 | 6 281 000 | 5 808 000 | 7 018 000 |
| 2050 | 6 303 000 | 5 811 000 | 7 079 000 |
| 2051 | 6 325 000 | 5 812 000 | 7 141 000 |
| 2052 | 6 346 000 | 5 813 000 | 7 204 000 |
| 2053 | 6 367 000 | 5 813 000 | 7 268 000 |
| 2054 | 6 388 000 | 5 813 000 | 7 334 000 |
| 2055 | 6 409 000 | 5 812 000 | 7 400 000 |
| 2056 | 6 429 000 | 5 811 000 | 7 468 000 |
| 2057 | 6 450 000 | 5 809 000 | 7 537 000 |
| 2058 | 6 470 000 | 5 807 000 | 7 607 000 |
| 2059 | 6 490 000 | 5 804 000 | 7 678 000 |
| 2060 | 6 510 000 | 5 801 000 | 7 750 000 |
| 2061 | 6 530 000 | 5 798 000 | 7 824 000 |
| 2062 | 6 550 000 | 5 794 000 | 7 898 000 |
| 2063 | 6 570 000 | 5 790 000 | 7 974 000 |
| 2064 | 6 589 000 | 5 786 000 | 8 051 000 |
| 2065 | 6 609 000 | 5 781 000 | 8 129 000 |
| 2066 | 6 629 000 | 5 777 000 | 8 209 000 |
| 2067 | 6 649 000 | 5 772 000 | 8 290 000 |
| 2068 | 6 669 000 | 5 767 000 | 8 372 000 |
| 2069 | 6 690 000 | 5 762 000 | 8 455 000 |
| 2070 | 6 710 000 | 5 757 000 | 8 541 000 |
| 2071 | 6 731 000 | 5 752 000 | 8 627 000 |
| 2072 | 6 752 000 | 5 746 000 | 8 715 000 |
| 2073 | 6 773 000 | 5 740 000 | 8 805 000 |
| 2074 | 6 794 000 | 5 733 000 | 8 896 000 |
| 2075 | 6 815 000 | 5 726 000 | 8 988 000 |
| 2076 | 6 836 000 | 5 719 000 | 9 081 000 |
| 2077 | 6 856 000 | 5 710 000 | 9 175 000 |
| 2078 | 6 876 000 | 5 701 000 | 9 271 000 |
| 2079 | 6 896 000 | 5 691 000 | 9 368 000 |
| 2080 | 6 916 000 | 5 680 000 | 9 465 000 |
| 2081 | 6 935 000 | 5 668 000 | 9 565 000 |
| 2082 | 6 954 000 | 5 655 000 | 9 665 000 |
| 2083 | 6 972 000 | 5 642 000 | 9 766 000 |
| 2084 | 6 990 000 | 5 629 000 | 9 869 000 |
| 2085 | 7 008 000 | 5 614 000 | 9 973 000 |
| 2086 | 7 026 000 | 5 599 000 | 10 078 000 |
| 2087 | 7 044 000 | 5 584 000 | 10 185 000 |
| 2088 | 7 062 000 | 5 568 000 | 10 293 000 |
| 2089 | 7 080 000 | 5 552 000 | 10 402 000 |
| 2090 | 7 098 000 | 5 536 000 | 10 514 000 |
| 2091 | 7 116 000 | 5 519 000 | 10 627 000 |
| 2092 | 7 135 000 | 5 503 000 | 10 742 000 |
| 2093 | 7 154 000 | 5 486 000 | 10 860 000 |
| 2094 | 7 173 000 | 5 469 000 | 10 979 000 |
| 2095 | 7 193 000 | 5 452 000 | 11 100 000 |
| 2096 | 7 213 000 | 5 435 000 | 11 223 000 |
| 2097 | 7 233 000 | 5 418 000 | 11 348 000 |
| 2098 | 7 253 000 | 5 400 000 | 11 474 000 |
| 2099 | 7 274 000 | 5 383 000 | 11 603 000 |
| 2100 | 7 294 000 | 5 365 000 | 11 733 000 |
Table 3
Population in the municipalities January 1. First year registered. Projected in three alternatives in 2040
| 2018 Registered | 2040 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main alternative (MMMM) | Low national growth LLML | High national growth HHMH | ||
| 1Each alternative is described by four letters in the following order: fertility, life expectancy, internal migration and immigration. M = medium, L = low and H = high. As projected numbers are inherently uncertain, they have been rounded to the nearest hundred. | ||||
| 0101 Halden | 31 037 | 36 400 | 34 600 | 38 600 |
| 0104 Moss | 32 588 | 38 000 | 36 100 | 40 500 |
| 0105 Sarpsborg | 55 543 | 62 200 | 59 200 | 66 100 |
| 0106 Fredrikstad | 80 977 | 98 100 | 93 300 | 104 300 |
| 0111 Hvaler | 4 540 | 4 500 | 4 300 | 4 700 |
| 0118 Aremark | 1 399 | 1 200 | 1 100 | 1 200 |
| 0119 Marker | 3 567 | 3 400 | 3 200 | 3 600 |
| 0121 Rømskog | 682 | 800 | 800 | 800 |
| 0122 Trøgstad | 5 337 | 5 900 | 5 600 | 6 300 |
| 0123 Spydeberg | 5 853 | 7 300 | 7 000 | 7 800 |
| 0124 Askim | 15 810 | 18 400 | 17 500 | 19 600 |
| 0125 Eidsberg | 11 414 | 12 900 | 12 300 | 13 800 |
| 0127 Skiptvet | 3 831 | 4 700 | 4 400 | 5 000 |
| 0128 Rakkestad | 8 202 | 8 800 | 8 400 | 9 300 |
| 0135 Råde | 7 465 | 8 100 | 7 700 | 8 700 |
| 0136 Rygge | 16 083 | 19 500 | 18 500 | 20 700 |
| 0137 Våler (Østfold) | 5 471 | 8 800 | 8 400 | 9 400 |
| 0138 Hobøl | 5 621 | 8 300 | 7 900 | 8 900 |
| 0211 Vestby | 17 486 | 22 900 | 21 700 | 24 500 |
| 0213 Ski | 30 880 | 34 500 | 32 800 | 36 900 |
| 0214 Ås | 20 084 | 34 000 | 32 200 | 36 600 |
| 0215 Frogn | 15 735 | 15 100 | 14 400 | 16 100 |
| 0216 Nesodden | 19 287 | 21 900 | 20 800 | 23 400 |
| 0217 Oppegård | 27 178 | 29 800 | 28 300 | 31 900 |
| 0219 Bærum | 125 454 | 143 700 | 136 000 | 154 500 |
| 0220 Asker | 60 926 | 68 400 | 64 700 | 73 600 |
| 0221 Aurskog-Høland | 16 390 | 19 700 | 18 700 | 21 000 |
| 0226 Sørum | 17 980 | 25 300 | 24 000 | 27 000 |
| 0227 Fet | 11 663 | 14 400 | 13 700 | 15 300 |
| 0228 Rælingen | 17 874 | 22 200 | 21 100 | 23 700 |
| 0229 Enebakk | 10 945 | 11 400 | 10 800 | 12 100 |
| 0230 Lørenskog | 38 670 | 52 800 | 50 100 | 56 500 |
| 0231 Skedsmo | 54 178 | 65 900 | 62 600 | 70 400 |
| 0233 Nittedal | 23 545 | 28 100 | 26 700 | 30 000 |
| 0234 Gjerdrum | 6 704 | 8 000 | 7 700 | 8 600 |
| 0235 Ullensaker | 36 576 | 53 000 | 50 400 | 56 600 |
| 0236 Nes (Akershus) | 21 681 | 26 200 | 24 900 | 27 900 |
| 0237 Eidsvoll | 24 647 | 31 000 | 29 500 | 33 000 |
| 0238 Nannestad | 13 240 | 17 400 | 16 500 | 18 500 |
| 0239 Hurdal | 2 903 | 3 100 | 2 900 | 3 300 |
| 0301 Oslo kommune | 673 469 | 815 500 | 773 900 | 878 700 |
| 0402 Kongsvinger | 17 934 | 20 200 | 19 200 | 21 500 |
| 0403 Hamar | 30 930 | 36 800 | 35 000 | 39 300 |
| 0412 Ringsaker | 34 151 | 37 100 | 35 200 | 39 500 |
| 0415 Løten | 7 615 | 8 100 | 7 700 | 8 600 |
| 0417 Stange | 20 646 | 24 300 | 23 000 | 25 800 |
| 0418 Nord-Odal | 5 097 | 5 500 | 5 200 | 5 900 |
| 0419 Sør-Odal | 7 884 | 9 000 | 8 500 | 9 600 |
| 0420 Eidskog | 6 142 | 6 000 | 5 700 | 6 400 |
| 0423 Grue | 4 740 | 4 400 | 4 200 | 4 700 |
| 0425 Åsnes | 7 279 | 7 400 | 7 000 | 7 800 |
| 0426 Våler (Hedmark) | 3 680 | 3 200 | 3 000 | 3 400 |
| 0427 Elverum | 21 123 | 25 000 | 23 600 | 26 800 |
| 0428 Trysil | 6 567 | 6 200 | 5 800 | 6 600 |
| 0429 Åmot | 4 480 | 5 300 | 5 000 | 5 700 |
| 0430 Stor-Elvdal | 2 490 | 2 100 | 2 000 | 2 200 |
| 0432 Rendalen | 1 827 | 1 600 | 1 500 | 1 700 |
| 0434 Engerdal | 1 294 | 900 | 900 | 1 000 |
| 0436 Tolga | 1 553 | 1 400 | 1 300 | 1 500 |
| 0437 Tynset | 5 605 | 6 500 | 6 200 | 7 000 |
| 0438 Alvdal | 2 424 | 2 500 | 2 400 | 2 700 |
| 0439 Folldal | 1 569 | 1 300 | 1 200 | 1 300 |
| 0441 Os (Hedmark) | 1 936 | 1 800 | 1 700 | 2 000 |
| 0501 Lillehammer | 27 938 | 32 700 | 31 000 | 34 900 |
| 0502 Gjøvik | 30 642 | 36 000 | 34 200 | 38 500 |
| 0511 Dovre | 2 642 | 2 400 | 2 300 | 2 600 |
| 0512 Lesja | 2 038 | 1 800 | 1 700 | 1 900 |
| 0513 Skjåk | 2 179 | 1 900 | 1 800 | 2 100 |
| 0514 Lom | 2 331 | 2 200 | 2 100 | 2 400 |
| 0515 Vågå | 3 638 | 3 700 | 3 400 | 3 900 |
| 0516 Nord-Fron | 5 728 | 5 500 | 5 200 | 5 900 |
| 0517 Sel | 5 872 | 5 700 | 5 400 | 6 100 |
| 0519 Sør-Fron | 3 146 | 3 300 | 3 100 | 3 600 |
| 0520 Ringebu | 4 454 | 4 400 | 4 200 | 4 800 |
| 0521 Øyer | 5 130 | 5 400 | 5 200 | 5 800 |
| 0522 Gausdal | 6 148 | 5 600 | 5 400 | 6 000 |
| 0528 Østre Toten | 14 888 | 15 200 | 14 500 | 16 200 |
| 0529 Vestre Toten | 13 314 | 14 600 | 13 900 | 15 600 |
| 0532 Jevnaker | 6 777 | 8 500 | 8 100 | 9 000 |
| 0533 Lunner | 9 065 | 10 500 | 10 000 | 11 200 |
| 0534 Gran | 13 770 | 15 700 | 14 900 | 16 700 |
| 0536 Søndre Land | 5 650 | 5 300 | 5 000 | 5 600 |
| 0538 Nordre Land | 6 750 | 7 000 | 6 600 | 7 500 |
| 0540 Sør-Aurdal | 3 014 | 2 700 | 2 600 | 3 000 |
| 0541 Etnedal | 1 352 | 1 400 | 1 300 | 1 500 |
| 0542 Nord-Aurdal | 6 443 | 6 500 | 6 200 | 7 100 |
| 0543 Vestre Slidre | 2 139 | 2 000 | 1 900 | 2 200 |
| 0544 Øystre Slidre | 3 221 | 3 500 | 3 300 | 3 700 |
| 0545 Vang | 1 601 | 1 800 | 1 700 | 2 000 |
| 0602 Drammen | 68 713 | 82 000 | 77 900 | 87 700 |
| 0604 Kongsberg | 27 410 | 31 300 | 29 700 | 33 600 |
| 0605 Ringerike | 30 283 | 34 400 | 32 700 | 36 800 |
| 0612 Hole | 6 833 | 9 100 | 8 600 | 9 700 |
| 0615 Flå | 1 069 | 1 400 | 1 300 | 1 500 |
| 0616 Nes (Buskerud) | 3 341 | 2 900 | 2 800 | 3 200 |
| 0617 Gol | 4 566 | 4 500 | 4 200 | 4 800 |
| 0618 Hemsedal | 2 457 | 3 700 | 3 500 | 4 000 |
| 0619 Ål | 4 626 | 4 200 | 3 900 | 4 500 |
| 0620 Hol | 4 520 | 4 400 | 4 200 | 4 800 |
| 0621 Sigdal | 3 488 | 3 000 | 2 900 | 3 200 |
| 0622 Krødsherad | 2 277 | 2 700 | 2 500 | 2 800 |
| 0623 Modum | 13 880 | 14 700 | 14 000 | 15 700 |
| 0624 Øvre Eiker | 18 926 | 24 100 | 22 900 | 25 800 |
| 0625 Nedre Eiker | 24 917 | 29 300 | 27 800 | 31 300 |
| 0626 Lier | 25 980 | 31 000 | 29 500 | 33 100 |
| 0627 Røyken | 22 452 | 30 400 | 28 800 | 32 500 |
| 0628 Hurum | 9 450 | 8 800 | 8 400 | 9 400 |
| 0631 Flesberg | 2 688 | 2 800 | 2 700 | 3 000 |
| 0632 Rollag | 1 411 | 1 200 | 1 100 | 1 300 |
| 0633 Nore og Uvdal | 2 482 | 2 200 | 2 100 | 2 300 |
| 0701 Horten | 27 317 | 30 800 | 29 300 | 32 900 |
| 0704 Tønsberg | 45 360 | 54 800 | 52 100 | 58 500 |
| 0710 Sandefjord | 62 615 | 73 400 | 69 700 | 78 600 |
| 0711 Svelvik | 6 672 | 7 300 | 7 000 | 7 700 |
| 0712 Larvik | 46 801 | 49 000 | 46 600 | 52 400 |
| 0713 Sande (Vestfold) | 9 726 | 13 700 | 13 000 | 14 600 |
| 0715 Holmestrand | 14 212 | 17 700 | 16 900 | 18 900 |
| 0716 Re | 9 621 | 11 900 | 11 400 | 12 800 |
| 0729 Færder | 26 734 | 28 900 | 27 500 | 30 800 |
| 0805 Porsgrunn | 36 091 | 40 100 | 38 100 | 42 800 |
| 0806 Skien | 54 510 | 60 100 | 57 200 | 64 100 |
| 0807 Notodden | 12 664 | 13 400 | 12 700 | 14 300 |
| 0811 Siljan | 2 351 | 2 100 | 2 000 | 2 200 |
| 0814 Bamble | 14 183 | 13 500 | 12 800 | 14 400 |
| 0815 Kragerø | 10 506 | 10 700 | 10 200 | 11 400 |
| 0817 Drangedal | 4 105 | 4 600 | 4 400 | 4 900 |
| 0819 Nome | 6 609 | 6 500 | 6 100 | 6 900 |
| 0821 Bø (Telemark) | 6 460 | 8 800 | 8 400 | 9 500 |
| 0822 Sauherad | 4 359 | 4 300 | 4 000 | 4 500 |
| 0826 Tinn | 5 856 | 5 900 | 5 600 | 6 400 |
| 0827 Hjartdal | 1 587 | 1 500 | 1 500 | 1 600 |
| 0828 Seljord | 2 959 | 3 100 | 3 000 | 3 300 |
| 0829 Kviteseid | 2 397 | 2 200 | 2 100 | 2 400 |
| 0830 Nissedal | 1 489 | 1 700 | 1 600 | 1 900 |
| 0831 Fyresdal | 1 320 | 1 400 | 1 300 | 1 500 |
| 0833 Tokke | 2 236 | 2 200 | 2 100 | 2 400 |
| 0834 Vinje | 3 709 | 4 000 | 3 800 | 4 300 |
| 0901 Risør | 6 882 | 7 700 | 7 300 | 8 200 |
| 0904 Grimstad | 23 017 | 29 600 | 28 100 | 31 700 |
| 0906 Arendal | 44 645 | 49 200 | 46 700 | 52 400 |
| 0911 Gjerstad | 2 467 | 2 600 | 2 500 | 2 800 |
| 0912 Vegårshei | 2 087 | 2 400 | 2 300 | 2 600 |
| 0914 Tvedestrand | 6 086 | 6 000 | 5 700 | 6 300 |
| 0919 Froland | 5 790 | 7 400 | 7 000 | 7 900 |
| 0926 Lillesand | 10 871 | 13 500 | 12 700 | 14 400 |
| 0928 Birkenes | 5 187 | 6 600 | 6 200 | 7 100 |
| 0929 Åmli | 1 845 | 1 900 | 1 800 | 2 100 |
| 0935 Iveland | 1 330 | 1 600 | 1 500 | 1 700 |
| 0937 Evje og Hornnes | 3 625 | 4 400 | 4 200 | 4 800 |
| 0938 Bygland | 1 207 | 1 300 | 1 200 | 1 400 |
| 0940 Valle | 1 225 | 1 200 | 1 100 | 1 300 |
| 0941 Bykle | 958 | 1 100 | 1 000 | 1 200 |
| 1001 Kristiansand | 91 440 | 109 800 | 104 200 | 117 400 |
| 1002 Mandal | 15 659 | 17 500 | 16 600 | 18 800 |
| 1003 Farsund | 9 726 | 10 000 | 9 400 | 10 800 |
| 1004 Flekkefjord | 9 066 | 9 100 | 8 600 | 9 800 |
| 1014 Vennesla | 14 532 | 18 400 | 17 500 | 19 600 |
| 1017 Songdalen | 6 656 | 8 700 | 8 300 | 9 300 |
| 1018 Søgne | 11 342 | 13 600 | 12 900 | 14 500 |
| 1021 Marnardal | 2 308 | 2 700 | 2 500 | 2 900 |
| 1026 Åseral | 943 | 1 100 | 1 000 | 1 200 |
| 1027 Audnedal | 1 786 | 2 200 | 2 000 | 2 300 |
| 1029 Lindesnes | 4 938 | 5 400 | 5 200 | 5 800 |
| 1032 Lyngdal | 8 571 | 10 100 | 9 500 | 11 000 |
| 1034 Hægebostad | 1 699 | 1 800 | 1 700 | 1 900 |
| 1037 Kvinesdal | 6 024 | 6 800 | 6 400 | 7 400 |
| 1046 Sirdal | 1 842 | 1 900 | 1 800 | 2 100 |
| 1101 Eigersund | 14 898 | 16 900 | 16 100 | 18 100 |
| 1102 Sandnes | 76 328 | 96 400 | 91 300 | 103 600 |
| 1103 Stavanger | 133 140 | 138 400 | 130 700 | 150 200 |
| 1106 Haugesund | 37 167 | 43 700 | 41 500 | 46 800 |
| 1111 Sokndal | 3 331 | 3 500 | 3 300 | 3 700 |
| 1112 Lund | 3 237 | 3 400 | 3 200 | 3 700 |
| 1114 Bjerkreim | 2 826 | 3 300 | 3 200 | 3 600 |
| 1119 Hå | 18 762 | 22 900 | 21 700 | 24 600 |
| 1120 Klepp | 19 217 | 24 000 | 22 800 | 25 700 |
| 1121 Time | 18 699 | 22 800 | 21 600 | 24 400 |
| 1122 Gjesdal | 11 866 | 14 300 | 13 600 | 15 400 |
| 1124 Sola | 26 265 | 32 100 | 30 400 | 34 400 |
| 1127 Randaberg | 10 972 | 11 900 | 11 300 | 12 800 |
| 1129 Forsand | 1 246 | 1 300 | 1 200 | 1 400 |
| 1130 Strand | 12 638 | 13 800 | 13 100 | 14 900 |
| 1133 Hjelmeland | 2 723 | 2 300 | 2 200 | 2 400 |
| 1134 Suldal | 3 849 | 3 600 | 3 400 | 3 800 |
| 1135 Sauda | 4 663 | 4 400 | 4 200 | 4 800 |
| 1141 Finnøy | 3 197 | 3 800 | 3 600 | 4 100 |
| 1142 Rennesøy | 4 849 | 6 400 | 6 000 | 6 800 |
| 1144 Kvitsøy | 542 | 500 | 500 | 500 |
| 1145 Bokn | 844 | 800 | 700 | 800 |
| 1146 Tysvær | 11 023 | 12 700 | 12 000 | 13 700 |
| 1149 Karmøy | 42 243 | 43 800 | 41 500 | 46 900 |
| 1151 Utsira | 208 | 200 | 200 | 200 |
| 1160 Vindafjord | 8 793 | 9 500 | 9 000 | 10 200 |
| 1201 Bergen | 279 792 | 310 600 | 294 900 | 333 200 |
| 1211 Etne | 4 083 | 4 400 | 4 200 | 4 700 |
| 1216 Sveio | 5 721 | 7 700 | 7 300 | 8 300 |
| 1219 Bømlo | 11 902 | 13 200 | 12 600 | 14 200 |
| 1221 Stord | 18 780 | 21 900 | 20 700 | 23 500 |
| 1222 Fitjar | 3 194 | 3 700 | 3 500 | 4 000 |
| 1223 Tysnes | 2 857 | 3 000 | 2 900 | 3 200 |
| 1224 Kvinnherad | 13 180 | 12 100 | 11 500 | 12 900 |
| 1227 Jondal | 1 096 | 1 400 | 1 300 | 1 500 |
| 1228 Odda | 6 835 | 6 600 | 6 200 | 7 200 |
| 1231 Ullensvang | 3 363 | 3 200 | 3 000 | 3 400 |
| 1232 Eidfjord | 931 | 900 | 900 | 1 000 |
| 1233 Ulvik | 1 117 | 1 100 | 1 000 | 1 200 |
| 1234 Granvin | 931 | 800 | 800 | 900 |
| 1235 Voss | 14 577 | 16 100 | 15 300 | 17 300 |
| 1238 Kvam | 8 455 | 8 400 | 7 900 | 8 900 |
| 1241 Fusa | 3 920 | 3 900 | 3 700 | 4 100 |
| 1242 Samnanger | 2 463 | 2 200 | 2 100 | 2 300 |
| 1243 Os (Hordaland) | 20 573 | 29 400 | 28 000 | 31 300 |
| 1244 Austevoll | 5 189 | 6 400 | 6 100 | 6 800 |
| 1245 Sund | 7 085 | 8 900 | 8 500 | 9 500 |
| 1246 Fjell | 25 725 | 33 700 | 32 000 | 35 900 |
| 1247 Askøy | 29 071 | 38 500 | 36 600 | 41 000 |
| 1251 Vaksdal | 4 127 | 4 000 | 3 900 | 4 300 |
| 1252 Modalen | 380 | 400 | 400 | 400 |
| 1253 Osterøy | 8 125 | 9 600 | 9 100 | 10 300 |
| 1256 Meland | 8 079 | 11 700 | 11 100 | 12 500 |
| 1259 Øygarden | 4 877 | 5 500 | 5 300 | 5 900 |
| 1260 Radøy | 5 129 | 5 200 | 5 000 | 5 500 |
| 1263 Lindås | 15 789 | 18 300 | 17 400 | 19 500 |
| 1264 Austrheim | 2 902 | 3 300 | 3 100 | 3 500 |
| 1265 Fedje | 561 | 400 | 400 | 500 |
| 1266 Masfjorden | 1 730 | 1 700 | 1 700 | 1 900 |
| 1401 Flora | 11 988 | 12 500 | 11 800 | 13 600 |
| 1411 Gulen | 2 345 | 2 500 | 2 400 | 2 700 |
| 1412 Solund | 807 | 700 | 700 | 800 |
| 1413 Hyllestad | 1 378 | 1 100 | 1 000 | 1 100 |
| 1416 Høyanger | 4 154 | 3 800 | 3 600 | 4 200 |
| 1417 Vik | 2 674 | 2 200 | 2 100 | 2 400 |
| 1418 Balestrand | 1 262 | 1 100 | 1 100 | 1 200 |
| 1419 Leikanger | 2 345 | 2 400 | 2 300 | 2 600 |
| 1420 Sogndal | 8 059 | 10 800 | 10 200 | 11 600 |
| 1421 Aurland | 1 778 | 1 900 | 1 800 | 2 000 |
| 1422 Lærdal | 2 153 | 1 900 | 1 800 | 2 000 |
| 1424 Årdal | 5 277 | 4 300 | 4 000 | 4 600 |
| 1426 Luster | 5 223 | 5 500 | 5 200 | 5 900 |
| 1428 Askvoll | 3 052 | 2 700 | 2 600 | 2 900 |
| 1429 Fjaler | 2 846 | 3 500 | 3 300 | 3 800 |
| 1430 Gaular | 3 006 | 3 400 | 3 200 | 3 600 |
| 1431 Jølster | 3 043 | 2 900 | 2 700 | 3 100 |
| 1432 Førde | 13 089 | 14 300 | 13 600 | 15 500 |
| 1433 Naustdal | 2 825 | 2 800 | 2 600 | 3 000 |
| 1438 Bremanger | 3 767 | 3 400 | 3 200 | 3 700 |
| 1439 Vågsøy | 6 001 | 5 800 | 5 500 | 6 200 |
| 1441 Selje | 2 757 | 2 500 | 2 400 | 2 700 |
| 1443 Eid | 6 157 | 6 400 | 6 100 | 6 900 |
| 1444 Hornindal | 1 175 | 1 000 | 900 | 1 100 |
| 1445 Gloppen | 5 874 | 6 300 | 5 900 | 6 700 |
| 1449 Stryn | 7 195 | 7 800 | 7 400 | 8 400 |
| 1502 Molde | 26 900 | 31 200 | 29 600 | 33 500 |
| 1504 Ålesund | 47 510 | 53 500 | 50 700 | 57 500 |
| 1505 Kristiansund | 24 300 | 26 800 | 25 400 | 28 700 |
| 1511 Vanylven | 3 187 | 2 200 | 2 000 | 2 300 |
| 1514 Sande (Møre og Romsdal) | 2 522 | 2 300 | 2 200 | 2 500 |
| 1515 Herøy (Møre og Romsdal) | 8 965 | 8 800 | 8 300 | 9 500 |
| 1516 Ulstein | 8 555 | 11 000 | 10 400 | 12 000 |
| 1517 Hareid | 5 150 | 5 200 | 4 900 | 5 600 |
| 1519 Volda | 9 188 | 10 800 | 10 200 | 11 600 |
| 1520 Ørsta | 10 812 | 11 500 | 10 900 | 12 400 |
| 1523 Ørskog | 2 267 | 2 200 | 2 100 | 2 400 |
| 1524 Norddal | 1 670 | 1 200 | 1 200 | 1 300 |
| 1525 Stranda | 4 587 | 4 300 | 4 000 | 4 600 |
| 1526 Stordal | 972 | 800 | 800 | 900 |
| 1528 Sykkylven | 7 695 | 6 700 | 6 400 | 7 200 |
| 1529 Skodje | 4 680 | 6 200 | 5 800 | 6 700 |
| 1531 Sula | 9 131 | 11 300 | 10 700 | 12 200 |
| 1532 Giske | 8 292 | 10 800 | 10 200 | 11 700 |
| 1534 Haram | 9 345 | 9 400 | 8 900 | 10 100 |
| 1535 Vestnes | 6 559 | 6 400 | 6 000 | 6 800 |
| 1539 Rauma | 7 507 | 7 000 | 6 700 | 7 500 |
| 1543 Nesset | 2 946 | 2 600 | 2 400 | 2 700 |
| 1545 Midsund | 2 049 | 2 200 | 2 000 | 2 300 |
| 1546 Sandøy | 1 263 | 1 100 | 1 000 | 1 200 |
| 1547 Aukra | 3 557 | 4 400 | 4 100 | 4 700 |
| 1548 Fræna | 9 775 | 10 400 | 9 800 | 11 100 |
| 1551 Eide | 3 440 | 3 200 | 3 100 | 3 500 |
| 1554 Averøy | 5 859 | 6 600 | 6 300 | 7 100 |
| 1557 Gjemnes | 2 623 | 2 400 | 2 300 | 2 600 |
| 1560 Tingvoll | 3 078 | 2 900 | 2 800 | 3 200 |
| 1563 Sunndal | 7 119 | 7 000 | 6 600 | 7 700 |
| 1566 Surnadal | 5 978 | 6 300 | 6 000 | 6 700 |
| 1567 Rindal | 2 039 | 2 200 | 2 100 | 2 300 |
| 1571 Halsa | 1 571 | 1 400 | 1 300 | 1 500 |
| 1573 Smøla | 2 172 | 2 300 | 2 200 | 2 400 |
| 1576 Aure | 3 593 | 3 600 | 3 400 | 3 900 |
| 5001 Trondheim | 193 501 | 220 500 | 209 500 | 236 000 |
| 5004 Steinkjer | 22 096 | 24 800 | 23 500 | 26 600 |
| 5005 Namsos | 13 078 | 13 900 | 13 100 | 14 900 |
| 5011 Hemne | 4 225 | 4 400 | 4 100 | 4 700 |
| 5012 Snillfjord | 987 | 900 | 900 | 1 000 |
| 5013 Hitra | 4 648 | 4 600 | 4 300 | 5 000 |
| 5014 Frøya | 4 962 | 5 800 | 5 500 | 6 400 |
| 5015 Ørland | 5 351 | 6 500 | 6 200 | 6 900 |
| 5016 Agdenes | 1 684 | 1 500 | 1 500 | 1 600 |
| 5017 Bjugn | 4 864 | 5 600 | 5 400 | 6 000 |
| 5018 Åfjord | 3 277 | 3 700 | 3 500 | 3 900 |
| 5019 Roan | 953 | 900 | 800 | 900 |
| 5020 Osen | 967 | 800 | 800 | 900 |
| 5021 Oppdal | 6 970 | 7 800 | 7 400 | 8 300 |
| 5022 Rennebu | 2 541 | 2 600 | 2 500 | 2 800 |
| 5023 Meldal | 3 930 | 4 400 | 4 200 | 4 700 |
| 5024 Orkdal | 11 933 | 13 800 | 13 100 | 14 700 |
| 5025 Røros | 5 663 | 6 200 | 5 900 | 6 600 |
| 5026 Holtålen | 2 028 | 2 200 | 2 100 | 2 400 |
| 5027 Midtre Gauldal | 6 225 | 6 900 | 6 600 | 7 300 |
| 5028 Melhus | 16 424 | 19 700 | 18 800 | 21 000 |
| 5029 Skaun | 8 142 | 12 900 | 12 200 | 13 700 |
| 5030 Klæbu | 6 094 | 7 100 | 6 700 | 7 600 |
| 5031 Malvik | 13 958 | 17 200 | 16 400 | 18 300 |
| 5032 Selbu | 4 093 | 4 100 | 3 900 | 4 300 |
| 5033 Tydal | 834 | 700 | 700 | 800 |
| 5034 Meråker | 2 469 | 2 400 | 2 300 | 2 500 |
| 5035 Stjørdal | 23 964 | 29 700 | 28 300 | 31 600 |
| 5036 Frosta | 2 616 | 2 800 | 2 700 | 3 000 |
| 5037 Levanger | 20 115 | 23 600 | 22 400 | 25 200 |
| 5038 Verdal | 14 943 | 16 100 | 15 300 | 17 200 |
| 5039 Verran | 2 473 | 1 900 | 1 800 | 2 000 |
| 5040 Namdalseid | 1 585 | 1 300 | 1 200 | 1 400 |
| 5041 Snåase - Snåsa | 2 094 | 2 000 | 1 900 | 2 100 |
| 5042 Lierne | 1 379 | 1 200 | 1 200 | 1 400 |
| 5043 Raarvihke - Røyrvik | 474 | 400 | 400 | 400 |
| 5044 Namsskogan | 902 | 900 | 900 | 1 000 |
| 5045 Grong | 2 400 | 2 500 | 2 300 | 2 700 |
| 5046 Høylandet | 1 268 | 1 200 | 1 200 | 1 300 |
| 5047 Overhalla | 3 845 | 4 500 | 4 300 | 4 900 |
| 5048 Fosnes | 618 | 400 | 400 | 500 |
| 5049 Flatanger | 1 105 | 1 100 | 1 000 | 1 200 |
| 5050 Vikna | 4 492 | 5 300 | 5 100 | 5 700 |
| 5051 Nærøy | 5 117 | 5 400 | 5 100 | 5 800 |
| 5052 Leka | 582 | 500 | 500 | 500 |
| 5053 Inderøy | 6 785 | 6 600 | 6 200 | 7 100 |
| 5054 Indre Fosen | 10 090 | 9 900 | 9 400 | 10 500 |
| 1804 Bodø | 51 558 | 60 300 | 57 100 | 64 600 |
| 1805 Narvik | 18 638 | 19 000 | 18 000 | 20 600 |
| 1811 Bindal | 1 486 | 1 200 | 1 200 | 1 300 |
| 1812 Sømna | 2 020 | 1 900 | 1 800 | 2 100 |
| 1813 Brønnøy | 7 948 | 9 200 | 8 700 | 9 800 |
| 1815 Vega | 1 221 | 1 100 | 1 100 | 1 200 |
| 1816 Vevelstad | 506 | 600 | 500 | 600 |
| 1818 Herøy (Nordland) | 1 790 | 2 000 | 1 900 | 2 200 |
| 1820 Alstahaug | 7 450 | 7 500 | 7 000 | 8 100 |
| 1822 Leirfjord | 2 307 | 2 900 | 2 700 | 3 100 |
| 1824 Vefsn | 13 448 | 13 500 | 12 800 | 14 500 |
| 1825 Grane | 1 463 | 1 300 | 1 300 | 1 400 |
| 1826 Hattfjelldal | 1 411 | 1 300 | 1 200 | 1 400 |
| 1827 Dønna | 1 403 | 1 200 | 1 100 | 1 300 |
| 1828 Nesna | 1 805 | 1 900 | 1 800 | 2 000 |
| 1832 Hemnes | 4 503 | 4 300 | 4 100 | 4 600 |
| 1833 Rana | 26 230 | 28 000 | 26 500 | 29 900 |
| 1834 Lurøy | 1 920 | 1 800 | 1 700 | 1 900 |
| 1835 Træna | 454 | 600 | 500 | 600 |
| 1836 Rødøy | 1 249 | 1 100 | 1 100 | 1 200 |
| 1837 Meløy | 6 346 | 5 400 | 5 100 | 5 700 |
| 1838 Gildeskål | 1 998 | 1 900 | 1 800 | 2 000 |
| 1839 Beiarn | 1 029 | 800 | 700 | 800 |
| 1840 Saltdal | 4 691 | 4 000 | 3 800 | 4 300 |
| 1841 Fauske - Fuosko | 9 775 | 9 800 | 9 300 | 10 500 |
| 1845 Sørfold | 1 979 | 1 900 | 1 800 | 2 100 |
| 1848 Steigen | 2 534 | 2 200 | 2 100 | 2 300 |
| 1849 Hamarøy - Hábmer | 1 801 | 1 900 | 1 800 | 2 000 |
| 1850 Divtasvuodna - Tysfjord | 1 953 | 1 800 | 1 700 | 1 900 |
| 1851 Lødingen | 2 102 | 1 700 | 1 600 | 1 900 |
| 1852 Tjeldsund | 1 259 | 1 000 | 1 000 | 1 100 |
| 1853 Evenes | 1 387 | 1 400 | 1 300 | 1 500 |
| 1854 Ballangen | 2 522 | 2 200 | 2 000 | 2 400 |
| 1856 Røst | 517 | 300 | 300 | 400 |
| 1857 Værøy | 746 | 700 | 700 | 800 |
| 1859 Flakstad | 1 301 | 1 000 | 1 000 | 1 100 |
| 1860 Vestvågøy | 11 397 | 12 500 | 11 800 | 13 600 |
| 1865 Vågan | 9 611 | 10 700 | 10 100 | 11 600 |
| 1866 Hadsel | 8 042 | 8 100 | 7 600 | 8 700 |
| 1867 Bø (Nordland) | 2 623 | 2 100 | 2 000 | 2 200 |
| 1868 Øksnes | 4 541 | 4 700 | 4 500 | 5 100 |
| 1870 Sortland - Suortá | 10 401 | 11 900 | 11 200 | 12 800 |
| 1871 Andøy | 4 902 | 4 500 | 4 300 | 4 900 |
| 1874 Moskenes | 1 068 | 1 000 | 900 | 1 000 |
| 1902 Tromsø | 75 638 | 82 100 | 77 800 | 88 200 |
| 1903 Harstad - Hárstták | 24 820 | 26 800 | 25 300 | 28 900 |
| 1911 Kvæfjord | 2 928 | 2 800 | 2 600 | 3 000 |
| 1913 Skånland | 2 994 | 3 000 | 2 900 | 3 300 |
| 1917 Ibestad | 1 380 | 1 200 | 1 100 | 1 300 |
| 1919 Gratangen | 1 117 | 1 000 | 900 | 1 100 |
| 1920 Loabák - Lavangen | 1 061 | 1 000 | 1 000 | 1 100 |
| 1922 Bardu | 3 979 | 3 900 | 3 700 | 4 200 |
| 1923 Salangen | 2 226 | 2 400 | 2 300 | 2 600 |
| 1924 Målselv | 6 798 | 7 400 | 6 900 | 8 000 |
| 1925 Sørreisa | 3 494 | 3 800 | 3 600 | 4 100 |
| 1926 Dyrøy | 1 165 | 1 000 | 900 | 1 100 |
| 1927 Tranøy | 1 536 | 1 400 | 1 300 | 1 500 |
| 1928 Torsken | 943 | 1 100 | 1 000 | 1 100 |
| 1929 Berg | 902 | 800 | 800 | 900 |
| 1931 Lenvik | 11 644 | 12 400 | 11 700 | 13 400 |
| 1933 Balsfjord | 5 653 | 6 700 | 6 300 | 7 200 |
| 1936 Karlsøy | 2 263 | 2 100 | 2 000 | 2 200 |
| 1938 Lyngen | 2 877 | 2 400 | 2 300 | 2 600 |
| 1939 Storfjord - Omasvuotna - Omasvuono | 1 856 | 1 800 | 1 700 | 1 900 |
| 1940 Gáivuotna - Kåfjord - Kaivuono | 2 132 | 1 800 | 1 700 | 1 900 |
| 1941 Skjervøy | 2 925 | 3 000 | 2 800 | 3 200 |
| 1942 Nordreisa | 4 944 | 5 800 | 5 500 | 6 300 |
| 1943 Kvænangen | 1 224 | 1 100 | 1 000 | 1 200 |
| 2002 Vardø | 2 110 | 2 000 | 1 900 | 2 200 |
| 2003 Vadsø | 6 033 | 5 800 | 5 400 | 6 400 |
| 2004 Hammerfest | 10 533 | 12 500 | 11 700 | 13 500 |
| 2011 Guovdageaidnu - Kautokeino | 2 946 | 2 400 | 2 300 | 2 600 |
| 2012 Alta | 20 635 | 22 900 | 21 700 | 24 700 |
| 2014 Loppa | 941 | 600 | 600 | 600 |
| 2015 Hasvik | 1 022 | 900 | 900 | 1 000 |
| 2017 Kvalsund | 1 027 | 700 | 700 | 800 |
| 2018 Måsøy | 1 231 | 1 000 | 900 | 1 100 |
| 2019 Nordkapp | 3 239 | 3 100 | 2 900 | 3 300 |
| 2020 Porsanger - Porsángu - Porsanki | 3 964 | 3 300 | 3 100 | 3 600 |
| 2021 Kárásjohka - Karasjok | 2 701 | 2 200 | 2 100 | 2 400 |
| 2022 Lebesby | 1 349 | 1 400 | 1 300 | 1 500 |
| 2023 Gamvik | 1 153 | 1 400 | 1 300 | 1 500 |
| 2024 Berlevåg | 983 | 800 | 800 | 900 |
| 2025 Deatnu - Tana | 2 922 | 2 600 | 2 400 | 2 800 |
| 2027 Unjárga - Nesseby | 944 | 1 100 | 1 000 | 1 200 |
| 2028 Båtsfjord | 2 263 | 2 700 | 2 600 | 3 000 |
| 2030 Sør-Varanger | 10 171 | 10 300 | 9 700 | 11 200 |
About the statistics
Population projections are calculations of how the population in Norway will potentially develop over time, given different assumptions about fertility, mortality, internal migration, immigration and emigration. Read about results, methods and assumptions in the report Population Projections 2018.
Definitions
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A population projection is an estimate of the future size and composition of a population, given certain assumptions of future fertility, life expectancy, domestic migration, immigration and emigration. The term projection is used for any estimate of the future population, also less likely ones. A prognosis or forecast is an estimate of the most probable future population size and composition.
Statistics Norway publishes several projections, but the MMMM alternative which assumes the medium level for each component is what we assume to be most plausible and to the greatest extent can be regarded as a population forecast or prognosis.
The variables and terms used in the population projections are described in the projections' report (see link below, 'Relevant documentation').
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Not relevant.
Administrative information
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Name: Population projections
Topic: Population
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Research department, Unit for Social and Demographic Research
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The lowest regional levels for the population projections are municipalities (city districts for Oslo).
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The population projections are published biennially.
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Statistics Norway reports projections to Eurostat and the United Nations, among others.
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The population projections utilize aggregated individual level data on population size, births, deaths and migration from Statistics Norway’s population statistics. The results from the projections are stored in the StatBank at Statistics Norway and as separate files. Aggregated data may be downloaded electronically from the StatBank.
Background
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The population projections aim at informing planning and public debate on population issues.
SSB has produced population projections regularly since the 1950s. Previous population projections can be found here, and in the StatBank.
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The most important users of Statistics Norway's population projections are public and private planning bodies at the municipal, county and central government levels, as well as journalists, researchers, politicians and the general public. The projections are also used internally in SSB, for example as input in macroeconomic models.
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Not relevant
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The population projections are published in accordance with international standards. The Norwegian figures are more detailed (regional level, immigration category, country group and period of residence) than what is commonly published from most other countries.
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There are no specific rules regulating the population projections, but the production process of the projections is based in the Norwegian Statistics Act of 1989.
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Although there is no separate EU regulation of this field, a collaboration exists between Norway and Eurostat. Eurostat produces population projections for the EU and Norway on a regular basis. These projections differ from those produced by Statistics Norway.
Production
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To project the population, assumptions are needed on future fertility, mortality, internal migration and international migration. After the assumptions are made, the Norwegian population is projected using the two cohort component models BEFINN and BEFREG.
The methods used are further described in the projections' report (see link below, 'Relevant documentation').
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The population projections utilize aggregated individual level data on population size, births, deaths and migration from Statistics Norway’s population statistics. We use data categorized by age, sex, immigrant background and country group of origin for 1 January each year, in addition to figures on births, deaths, domestic migration, immigration and emigration by age, sex and municipality/city district.
No samples are used. The projections utilize the whole population in estimations.
The methods used in the population projections are further described in the projections' report (see link below, 'Relevant documentation').
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No data are collected specifically for the purpose of making population projections.
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Not relevant
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Not relevant.
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At a national level, the various versions of the population projections are comparable over time. The projections are comparable also at the regional level, apart from in situations where municipalities have been merged or divided.
Country groups are not entirely comparable over time, since the definition and the number of groups have varied.
In comparing results from the population projections to the general population statistics at Statistics Norway, two main differences stand out:
1) The projection models project the population from 1 January one year to 1 January the year after. This means that individuals who move several times during one year, only contribute with one move, or with zero moves if the person reside in the same municipality at the beginning and the end of the year. Similarly applies for moves between Norway and other countries. Consequently, somewhat fewer migrations are used in the population projections compared to the numbers that are published in the general population statistics.
2) The age definitions are not the same in the projections and the general population statistics. Whereas the general population statistics use age at time of event (e.g. birth, death or migration), the projections use age at the end of the year. This means that the age-specific ratios and probabilities used in the projections – as well as the life expectancy figures – may differ slightly from what is published in the population statistics.
Accuracy and reliability
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There is a marked uncertainty about whether the assumptions used in making the population projections will accurately reflect future demographic trends. Over the past decade, future immigration has proven to be the most difficult component to project. This is also likely to be the case in the years ahead. Fertility, mortality and internal migration can also be very different from what was projected.
Models are simplifications of reality, and as such may only capture a few key mechanisms. This means that there are a multitude of other conditions that will affect population development which are not considered.
Errors in the population statistics system are usually modest in Norway and play a minor role in the projections
In summary, the uncertainty increases with time, and the percent wise errors are typically greatest for small municipalities. For more information, see link below, ‘Relevant documentation’.
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Analyses, articles and publications
Lower population growth in future
Published 26 June 2018Lower population growth, an ageing rural population and growing numbers of adult and elderly immigrants. These are some of the trends that will impact on the future population, according to the 2018 population projections.
Read this article
Norway’s 2018 population projections
Published 26 June 2018This report presents the main results from the 2018 population projections and provides an overview of the underlying assumptions.
Read this publication
The population projections
Published 16 June 2014This report documents how Statistics Norway (SSB) produces population projections using the BEFINN and BEFREG models.
Read this publicationContact
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Statistics Norway's Information Centre
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Henvendelser om nasjonale framskrivinger
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Henvendelser om regionale framskrivinger
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Astri Syse
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Marianne Tønnessen
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Stefan Leknes