Regional population projections

Updated: 5 July 2022

Next update: Not yet determined

Municipalities expected to grow by 2050 (main alternative) 2022 - 2050
Municipalities expected to grow by 2050 (main alternative) 2022 - 2050
211
Population in counties, registered and projected (main alternative)
Population in counties, registered and projected (main alternative)
20222050Change in per centChange in number of persons
Viken1 269 2301 504 12918.5234 899
Oslo699 827809 15515.6109 328
Innlandet371 253387 3884.316 135
Vestfold og Telemark424 832464 7149.439 882
Agder311 134346 76711.535 633
Rogaland485 797538 49710.852 700
Vestland641 292694 0748.252 782
Møre og Romsdal265 848275 3243.69 476
Trøndelag - Trööndelage474 131522 95810.348 827
Nordland - Nordlánnda240 190236 368-1.6-3 822
Troms og Finnmark - Romsa ja Finnmárku241 736249 4563.27 720
Explanation of symbols

Selected tables and figures from this statistics

  • Population in the municipalities January 1. First year registered. Projected in three alternatives in 2050
    Population in the municipalities January 1. First year registered. Projected in three alternatives in 2050
    Registered 2022Projected 2050
    Main alternative (MMMM)Low national growth (LLML)High national growth (HHMH)
    Halden31 44434 63931 15537 919
    Moss50 29058 83552 72664 790
    Sarpsborg58 18265 09258 42271 281
    Fredrikstad83 89296 00686 272105 169
    Drammen102 273114 271101 804126 608
    Kongsberg27 87931 53328 15034 927
    Ringerike31 01134 89331 30338 380
    Hvaler4 7416 4135 8446 955
    Aremark1 3151 4911 3491 619
    Marker3 5784 0493 6564 417
    Indre Østfold45 60853 35347 79358 676
    Skiptvet3 8464 8074 3205 250
    Rakkestad8 3129 6428 66210 566
    Råde7 6339 4038 46210 292
    Våler (Viken)5 9138 5457 6409 383
    Vestby18 69923 85121 32226 254
    Nordre Follo61 03270 69662 77478 234
    Ås20 78026 81223 53230 100
    Frogn16 08418 57416 67020 438
    Nesodden19 93923 34820 80525 796
    Bærum128 982150 879133 277168 452
    Asker96 088112 48399 853124 870
    Aurskog-Høland17 75421 27019 13223 284
    Rælingen19 02424 13321 38026 768
    Enebakk11 24913 06211 65114 406
    Lørenskog44 69358 94152 23965 377
    Lillestrøm89 095106 77694 975118 221
    Nittedal24 94730 30726 91833 517
    Gjerdrum6 9898 8917 9449 805
    Ullensaker41 56554 68948 55060 649
    Nes23 89830 22727 04533 192
    Eidsvoll26 71634 34630 70637 783
    Nannestad15 07420 83718 56522 993
    Hurdal2 9053 8713 4744 250
    Hole6 8598 7657 8119 704
    Flå1 0571 1621 0311 302
    Nesbyen3 2733 0972 7613 455
    Gol4 6675 0074 4585 575
    Hemsedal2 6113 3642 9263 881
    Ål4 6504 4393 9494 944
    Hol4 5044 9154 3455 539
    Sigdal3 4923 4303 1033 750
    Krødsherad2 1892 3272 0602 611
    Modum14 27316 58514 91918 160
    Øvre Eiker20 04424 89222 30327 319
    Lier27 58434 12630 34937 799
    Flesberg2 7203 1722 8413 496
    Rollag1 3701 3951 2541 532
    Nore og Uvdal2 4552 2612 0162 525
    Jevnaker6 9088 2037 3938 955
    Lunner9 14410 0248 97311 049
    Oslo municipality699 827809 155713 829907 396
    Kongsvinger17 94918 42916 51820 307
    Hamar31 99936 64532 83240 333
    Lillehammer28 42531 88528 44135 165
    Gjøvik30 26732 49828 98935 947
    Ringsaker35 07337 50333 72041 082
    Løten7 7158 3617 5219 146
    Stange21 15624 28721 78126 653
    Nord-Odal5 0164 7684 3195 190
    Sør-Odal7 9788 7307 8879 538
    Eidskog6 0326 0725 4896 645
    Grue4 5484 5284 0764 977
    Åsnes7 2116 8876 1487 646
    Våler (Innlandet)3 5973 5343 1783 897
    Elverum21 43522 35920 00524 617
    Trysil6 6036 1265 4636 835
    Åmot4 1954 7504 2325 237
    Stor-Elvdal2 3182 5372 2232 904
    Rendalen1 7221 7871 6111 967
    Engerdal1 2531 2531 0981 439
    Tolga1 5511 3501 1981 506
    Tynset5 5815 4464 8606 032
    Alvdal2 4452 1641 9382 380
    Folldal1 5301 4161 2831 546
    Os1 8551 7151 5421 886
    Dovre2 4982 3762 1032 666
    Lesja1 9861 5701 4101 723
    Skjåk2 1511 7461 5831 901
    Lom2 2111 8541 6622 044
    Vågå3 5913 0012 7013 287
    Nord-Fron5 6285 0324 5015 552
    Sel5 5314 8074 2735 361
    Sør-Fron3 0642 9572 6503 259
    Ringebu4 3854 1033 6644 559
    Øyer5 0825 3964 8185 980
    Gausdal6 0795 9755 4186 493
    Østre Toten14 82715 04813 47416 604
    Vestre Toten13 57214 73913 30416 080
    Gran13 63314 19212 77615 557
    Søndre Land5 5355 9885 3956 580
    Nordre Land6 5776 2375 5976 857
    Sør-Aurdal2 8892 7042 4412 962
    Etnedal1 2561 3021 1471 476
    Nord-Aurdal6 3546 1765 5156 840
    Vestre Slidre2 1112 1281 8972 357
    Øystre Slidre3 2523 2272 8763 590
    Vang1 5871 8001 5602 078
    Horten27 50229 72026 64332 726
    Holmestrand25 68131 99228 81934 999
    Tønsberg57 79466 11059 28372 694
    Sandefjord64 94373 31765 53980 968
    Larvik47 77751 61146 39256 635
    Porsgrunn36 62439 37635 26143 335
    Skien55 51359 64253 56465 380
    Notodden13 02913 12311 76214 458
    Færder27 16530 61227 50933 565
    Siljan2 3492 6892 4272 924
    Bamble14 05614 09312 68215 420
    Kragerø10 3519 8608 87510 836
    Drangedal4 0933 8803 4794 269
    Nome6 4946 4745 7537 216
    Midt-Telemark10 53912 01110 63813 406
    Tinn5 5125 1324 5625 747
    Hjartdal1 5621 4481 3001 598
    Seljord2 8892 8092 5083 112
    Kviteseid2 4522 5142 2752 743
    Nissedal1 4141 4181 2741 568
    Fyresdal1 1981 1851 0541 320
    Tokke2 1401 9411 7522 123
    Vinje3 7553 7573 3454 178
    Risør6 7356 7396 0467 447
    Grimstad24 01727 56824 58030 430
    Arendal45 50947 91143 04252 619
    Kristiansand113 737136 728121 809150 718
    Lindesnes23 14723 54321 03926 018
    Farsund9 6229 0378 03910 038
    Flekkefjord9 0488 4787 5199 427
    Gjerstad2 4272 3512 1142 586
    Vegårshei2 1312 4032 1512 643
    Tvedestrand6 1156 7616 0877 411
    Froland6 0987 5076 7648 163
    Lillesand11 27913 10311 75214 390
    Birkenes5 3426 1545 4976 777
    Åmli1 8011 9271 7292 119
    Iveland1 3231 5841 4151 742
    Evje og Hornnes3 6533 7863 3834 177
    Bygland1 1341 2311 0971 368
    Valle1 1691 1431 0131 272
    Bykle9351 2421 0961 399
    Vennesla15 12317 03715 26218 685
    Åseral912789710864
    Lyngdal10 48010 9549 72712 159
    Hægebostad1 7041 5491 3881 697
    Kvinesdal5 8835 4644 8616 064
    Sirdal1 8101 7781 5841 970
    Eigersund14 86014 44612 90515 927
    Stavanger144 699158 003138 766177 881
    Haugesund37 44440 30135 83444 805
    Sandnes81 30594 43683 782104 781
    Sokndal3 2812 9382 6393 216
    Lund3 1783 2372 8703 618
    Bjerkreim2 7892 8622 5653 137
    19 29621 69119 24724 030
    Klepp20 16324 37221 70226 829
    Time19 35323 99921 47626 290
    Gjesdal12 13114 52112 91216 002
    Sola27 56833 10529 23736 897
    Randaberg11 45413 41211 93714 799
    Strand13 26814 76413 15816 275
    Hjelmeland2 5342 5242 2452 810
    Suldal3 7843 5693 1743 962
    Sauda4 5254 0013 5534 450
    Kvitsøy523631568690
    Bokn855860774939
    Tysvær11 28312 58911 24313 809
    Karmøy42 54143 10938 67647 145
    Utsira188238214261
    Vindafjord8 7758 8897 8849 908
    Bergen286 930323 799287 662359 220
    Kinn17 13115 99714 16517 885
    Etne4 0433 7933 3864 196
    Sveio5 7756 3175 6586 933
    Bømlo12 06111 76710 49013 022
    Stord18 91919 42817 28621 506
    Fitjar3 1173 1512 8173 472
    Tysnes2 8832 8562 5653 139
    Kvinnherad13 01711 70410 53012 811
    Ullensvang10 8819 7078 58410 905
    Eidfjord9379218181 027
    Ulvik1 0511 0969741 220
    Voss15 87516 31814 56218 039
    Kvam8 4977 9547 1098 784
    Samnanger2 5012 6182 3682 844
    Bjørnafjorden25 21330 03026 96332 850
    Austevoll5 2835 3854 7795 984
    Øygarden39 03246 15941 34450 576
    Askøy29 81634 20830 68637 376
    Vaksdal3 8673 6393 2634 002
    Modalen378412368451
    Osterøy8 1318 7497 8859 538
    Alver29 59332 72129 45535 715
    Austrheim2 8893 4933 1353 824
    Fedje502524470575
    Masfjorden1 6291 6171 4441 784
    Gulen2 2302 2341 9802 495
    Solund768786691889
    Hyllestad1 2901 2231 0941 362
    Høyanger3 9653 3663 0123 729
    Vik2 5602 0751 8502 305
    Sogndal12 09713 76312 12015 383
    Aurland1 7662 0641 8002 359
    Lærdal2 1171 9811 7522 221
    Årdal5 2044 1673 7114 634
    Luster5 2464 9974 4695 516
    Askvoll2 9512 6292 3442 911
    Fjaler2 9013 1532 7003 681
    Sunnfjord22 11622 30419 84524 678
    Bremanger3 5213 0622 6983 459
    Stad9 5279 2588 23510 261
    Gloppen5 8755 5924 9616 228
    Stryn7 2077 0576 2017 980
    Kristiansund24 01324 20421 62826 796
    Molde32 00233 89330 12637 628
    Ålesund67 11471 86963 70680 052
    Vanylven3 0452 4012 1582 642
    Sande (Møre og Romsdal)2 4222 4192 1202 749
    Herøy (Møre og Romsdal)8 7658 1717 2669 100
    Ulstein8 5579 4228 33710 530
    Hareid5 1265 2304 6375 832
    Ørsta10 83310 4889 37711 548
    Stranda4 4674 4193 8924 997
    Sykkylven7 5586 8476 1207 581
    Sula9 54711 27110 05912 405
    Giske8 59710 3769 26011 421
    Vestnes6 9366 6995 9467 470
    Rauma7 0196 8586 1487 552
    Aukra3 5184 2033 7274 672
    Averøy5 8286 3435 6687 016
    Gjemnes2 6692 8072 5073 098
    Tingvoll2 9602 9732 6323 333
    Sunndal6 9326 1085 3946 886
    Surnadal5 8495 0944 5655 604
    Smøla2 1202 0231 8002 255
    Aure3 3843 2162 8573 581
    Volda10 80912 01010 57413 413
    Fjord2 4912 4772 2092 741
    Hustadvika13 28713 50312 09614 823
    Trondheim210 496248 636220 832276 170
    Steinkjer24 00422 80520 32325 237
    Namsos15 00113 86812 36515 350
    Frøya5 2656 6925 8427 643
    Osen904851765935
    Oppdal7 0666 9256 1827 662
    Rennebu2 4432 4042 1492 645
    Røros5 5725 7705 1666 370
    Holtålen1 9531 8351 6502 004
    Midtre Gauldal6 1206 1865 4896 875
    Melhus17 12319 57117 51621 464
    Skaun8 36010 4859 42611 425
    Malvik14 42517 53015 62919 310
    Selbu4 0904 3403 9334 712
    Tydal750690623756
    Meråker2 3992 6722 3832 974
    Stjørdal24 28726 30523 68428 741
    Frosta2 6082 8712 5643 175
    Levanger20 17121 12218 84023 283
    Verdal14 95514 93013 43616 306
    Snåase - Snåsa2 0331 6801 4991 860
    Lierne1 3091 0259121 144
    Raarvihke - Røyrvik441391347438
    Namsskogan8188997981 001
    Grong2 2872 3952 0912 731
    Høylandet1 193904806996
    Overhalla3 8173 7913 3754 187
    Flatanger1 1011 1621 0331 292
    Leka570605536672
    Inderøy6 7947 0796 3497 753
    Indre Fosen9 8999 3968 41410 353
    Heim5 8845 2444 6825 815
    Hitra5 1566 1495 4406 891
    Ørland10 37111 0929 92212 195
    Åfjord4 2524 1073 6734 534
    Orkland18 50219 50417 60821 283
    Nærøysund9 7329 4768 40910 552
    Rindal1 9801 5711 4211 701
    Bodø52 80355 56649 45461 684
    Narvik21 53020 05017 73222 496
    Bindal1 4061 1621 0461 275
    Sømna1 9811 8921 6942 083
    Brønnøy7 7777 3136 5588 062
    Vega1 1751 0999771 219
    Vevelstad462487433544
    Herøy (Nordland)1 8251 9311 6962 196
    Alstahaug7 3337 0466 2207 922
    Leirfjord2 2572 4622 1802 756
    Vefsn13 23312 25210 95513 527
    Grane1 4611 3501 1951 509
    Hattfjelldal1 2731 1329801 310
    Dønna1 3691 2461 1071 396
    Nesna1 6982 1491 8662 465
    Hemnes4 4204 0423 6414 423
    Rana26 09224 60122 06627 063
    Lurøy1 8691 8461 6442 049
    Træna450561488645
    Rødøy1 1539538551 048
    Meløy6 2145 3184 7435 904
    Gildeskål1 8942 1371 8982 392
    Beiarn1 0129148181 015
    Saltdal4 6174 1803 6954 693
    Fauske - Fuosko9 6039 0848 13610 019
    Sørfold1 8691 7891 5941 980
    Steigen2 5912 6992 4033 003
    Lødingen1 9762 0721 8152 377
    Evenes - Evenássi1 3341 4531 2941 626
    Røst469398356439
    Værøy678670593753
    Flakstad1 2161 2321 1011 370
    Vestvågøy11 56611 79910 45713 164
    Vågan9 72410 2198 97911 580
    Hadsel8 1078 0017 0748 976
    Bø (Nordland)2 5652 4032 1482 670
    Øksnes4 4584 2993 7814 868
    Sortland - Suortá10 46810 2599 14311 357
    Andøy4 5724 2313 7464 746
    Moskenes9821 1641 0161 339
    Hamarøy2 7082 9072 5743 267
    Tromsø77 54484 84974 96495 043
    Harstad24 80424 02321 37126 684
    Alta21 14422 20119 59824 767
    Vardø1 8971 9821 7332 260
    Vadsø5 5685 3444 6896 094
    Hammerfest11 27411 3039 93312 767
    Kvæfjord2 7893 0232 6753 379
    Tjeldsund4 2014 3703 9034 841
    Ibestad1 2891 2591 1281 395
    Gratangen1 0701 1391 0131 277
    Loabák - Lavangen970826739919
    Bardu3 9934 4073 8754 951
    Salangen2 0872 1271 8532 446
    Målselv6 5996 8376 0767 589
    Sørreisa3 4143 3442 9783 713
    Dyrøy1 0689908871 093
    Senja14 73814 36712 70116 126
    Balsfjord5 5765 7155 0916 345
    Karlsøy2 1792 4432 1742 723
    Lyngen2 7292 4332 1752 694
    Storfjord - Omasvuotna - Omasvuono1 8361 8651 6542 088
    Gáivuotna - Kåfjord - Kaivuono2 0121 8681 6582 087
    Skjervøy2 8042 5552 2362 906
    Nordreisa4 7464 5154 0205 006
    Kvænangen1 1591 1251 0061 246
    Guovdageaidnu - Kautokeino2 8772 5282 2472 803
    Loppa8599998731 141
    Hasvik9641 2001 0501 366
    Måsøy1 1621 3261 1621 511
    Nordkapp2 9472 8222 4833 185
    Porsanger - Porsángu - Porsanki3 9043 7373 3344 132
    Kárásjohka - Karasjok2 5842 3062 0652 540
    Lebesby1 2211 3261 1661 503
    Gamvik1 0571 3881 1941 625
    Berlevåg9069598411 091
    Deatnu - Tana2 8212 8012 4883 127
    Unjárga - Nesseby854880780987
    Båtsfjord2 1652 1871 8832 546
    Sør-Varanger9 92510 0878 86811 381
    Explanation of symbols
  • 13605: Framskrevne befolkningsendringer, etter region, alternativ, statistikkvariabel og år
    Hovedalternativet (MMMM)
    FødteDødeNettoinnvandringInnenlands nettoinnflytting
    20222050202220502022205020222050
    3001 Halden263271296380882613163
    3002 Moss42744944161530386283273
    3003 Sarpsborg55456350065023450377159
    3004 Fredrikstad7317707431 01633464287436
    3005 Drammen9881 0308211 066643229-18590
    3006 Kongsberg227246230316163615894
    3007 Ringerike26527829438117054125130
    3011 Hvaler253647921749186
    3012 Aremark9111620-301412
    3013 Marker27294251411636
    3014 Indre Østfold41744138353921557253208
    3015 Skiptvet344030454-15225
    3016 Rakkestad7378761074196445
    3017 Råde6072699633812252
    3018 Våler (Viken)6176346732215636
    3019 Vestby17019411320911515180112
    3020 Nordre Follo56660843961736861325136
    3021 Ås22726212719032762221-38
    3022 Frogn120128141216932161126
    3023 Nesodden16217813422812921-28104
    3024 Bærum1 2341 3479341 330905135-264309
    3025 Asker8579186681 027554123252327
    3026 Aurskog-Høland153164150219561456130
    3027 Rælingen20423910917817124241-2
    3028 Enebakk1001106611657138732
    3029 Lørenskog541578283475438451 04962
    3030 Lillestrøm875945613901696131639178
    3031 Nittedal2252531532441632812171
    3032 Gjerdrum5870468148112245
    3033 Ullensaker44549524341342860583108
    3034 Nes24126517828413111245128
    3035 Eidsvoll27430918830412618364128
    3036 Nannestad169192861601371324760
    3037 Hurdal253027391337224
    3038 Hole5168548662165843
    3039 Flå981314195-13
    3040 Nesbyen25233845211610
    3041 Gol38414757481944-1
    3042 Hemsedal2728182711034-10-23
    3043 Ål363350585917-15-3
    3044 Hol393944588428-4-6
    3045 Sigdal23223547176-518
    3046 Krødsherad171623302312-155
    3047 Modum12113213018559179186
    3048 Øvre Eiker1982231612291271611392
    3049 Lier2602911953082186225475
    3050 Flesberg24262433136-111
    3051 Rollag1010161953-197
    3052 Nore og Uvdal161529334012-14-1
    3053 Jevnaker596564892234052
    3054 Lunner7681731124920-529
    0301 Oslo kommune9 53110 0113 9605 6016 666803-3 397-3 382
    3401 Kongsvinger13412819223359369172
    3403 Hamar27629230438218659279108
    3405 Lillehammer262291254319171407742
    3407 Gjøvik25327128233720979-4828
    3411 Ringsaker316302336424185601697
    3412 Løten696874952184528
    3413 Stange193204190255111331674
    3414 Nord-Odal3430637052-1136
    3415 Sør-Odal6663781091992352
    3416 Eidskog41377392198-2448
    3417 Grue303165698113523
    3418 Åsnes49471021035326422
    3419 Våler (Innlandet)21214555479-523
    3420 Elverum19519820324410639-218
    3421 Trysil494079858026-399
    3422 Åmot324446501705812
    3423 Stor-Elvdal171833362232-5-11
    3424 Rendalen10102429451615
    3425 Engerdal8817191616-2-7
    3426 Tolga12101620196-18-2
    3427 Tynset484255673018-18-1
    3428 Alvdal20172428213-130
    3429 Folldal9918227268
    3430 Os1513222434-154
    3431 Dovre201931321515-19-5
    3432 Lesja1412242652-162
    3433 Skjåk15122628-12-145
    3434 Lom1714262945-20-1
    3435 Vågå29244343154-272
    3436 Nord-Fron433961693413-442
    3437 Sel413666722825-69-8
    3438 Sør-Fron24223339167-35
    3439 Ringebu363151553517-27-1
    3440 Øyer444547623620-100
    3441 Gausdal4643657774926
    3442 Østre Toten11811615718211343-7628
    3443 Vestre Toten11411712716161174046
    3446 Gran1031011421816325-5272
    3447 Søndre Land414159802519028
    3448 Nordre Land504478873815-1320
    3449 Sør-Aurdal20183639114513
    3450 Etnedal881717131317-4
    3451 Nord-Aurdal514967806916-347
    3452 Vestre Slidre1615232776103
    3453 Øystre Slidre292531413412-70
    3454 Vang11131620452314-15
    3801 Horten21822325733615358-5105
    3802 Holmestrand22824321133315830466174
    3803 Tønsberg552558463672312108330141
    3804 Sandefjord567579549762360134190204
    3805 Larvik3923924346002528764180
    3806 Porsgrunn31431733542925877-379
    3807 Skien50649748063621891105108
    3808 Notodden1091051361606232515
    3811 Færder20922024735810833202161
    3812 Siljan19222029112410
    3813 Bamble1141101301725721-837
    3814 Kragerø75661111374425-3534
    3815 Drangedal31294751279-128
    3816 Nome5148708139329-6
    3817 Midt-Telemark98106941161464728-17
    3818 Tinn383568744031-670
    3819 Hjartdal1210182065-41
    3820 Seljord22223237298-155
    3821 Kviteseid181727351021714
    3822 Nissedal9914208644
    3823 Fyresdal9813173621
    3824 Tokke1513252812-127
    3825 Vinje343034454214-18-3
    4201 Risør464474953125-2228
    4202 Grimstad232244169247116529316
    4203 Arendal386368386540138937397
    4204 Kristiansand1 2041 3548071 15967115244295
    4205 Lindesnes20018820127010572-719
    4206 Farsund8776921084339-85-21
    4207 Flekkefjord8074931015329-57-21
    4211 Gjerstad1917253188-84
    4212 Vegårshei19191926185-127
    4213 Tvedestrand4750638624113935
    4214 Froland6166436912-19625
    4215 Lillesand971078713243228137
    4216 Birkenes515634523413120
    4217 Åmli141417233497
    4218 Iveland1314101513143
    4219 Evje og Hornnes3231344125855
    4220 Bygland81012168582
    4221 Valle9111215532-1
    4222 Bykle101171226710-3
    4223 Vennesla165166109155632410-1
    4224 Åseral75811-12-121
    4225 Lyngdal102102791054343-57-31
    4226 Hægebostad16141517-24-16-4
    4227 Kvinesdal534654651923-58-16
    4228 Sirdal16141619176-4-4
    1101 Eigersund1421281191586431-110-18
    1103 Stavanger1 5841 6239361 4061 312329-636-361
    1106 Haugesund360355302411306118-34-29
    1108 Sandnes949985466775443153-44-127
    1111 Sokndal29243337105-3-3
    1112 Lund292826371818-22-10
    1114 Bjerkreim2424193124-33
    1119 Hå21522311918814153-83-39
    1120 Klepp24126011018111321158-26
    1121 Time218249112192891313715
    1122 Gjesdal13715262118511723-7
    1124 Sola3193461562591683544-29
    1127 Randaberg119128671124116550
    1130 Strand144144911328723-22-6
    1133 Hjelmeland201822292710-191
    1134 Suldal312937442811-37-1
    1135 Sauda383153522415-49-8
    1144 Kvitsøy4468-11115
    1145 Bokn7791000-73
    1146 Tysvær11211974113681320
    1149 Karmøy43340032243412954-185-42
    1151 Utsira12230022
    1160 Vindafjord797577988933-41-18
    4601 Bergen3 2333 4272 0092 6801 542437336-600
    4602 Kinn14712914418913372-169-59
    4611 Etne332938443211-39-4
    4612 Sveio53544364101117
    4613 Bømlo10896921256640-59-25
    4614 Stord18817713018911652-113-42
    4615 Fitjar26232438118-235
    4616 Tysnes2421343876-2313
    4617 Kvinnherad109891211483921-1210
    4618 Ullensvang88751241288560-127-40
    4619 Eidfjord78111212320
    4620 Ulvik7814142552
    4621 Voss1481381591778849-29-9
    4622 Kvam716285994922-70-2
    4623 Samnanger2122243100-812
    4624 Bjørnafjorden2432641612697725-1892
    4625 Austevoll484542574116-45-1
    4626 Øygarden40843923341414158-1965
    4627 Askøy3003291752849629-5830
    4628 Vaksdal3429454589-252
    4629 Modalen3344-10-12
    4630 Osterøy79766489177-3718
    4631 Alver2752812003206337-461
    4632 Austrheim24292636944116
    4633 Fedje338701-23
    4634 Masfjorden1212192114-64
    4635 Gulen191925272110-10-4
    4636 Solund6591085-2-1
    4637 Hyllestad7715174612
    4638 Høyanger29224450814-46-4
    4639 Vik1916343098-29-4
    4640 Sogndal145153931181124840-68
    4641 Aurland181920222515-12-8
    4642 Lærdal161523281910-16-2
    4643 Årdal413157612319-42-18
    4644 Luster494252602713-14-7
    4645 Askvoll22194039136-215
    4646 Fjaler2232293010639-28-39
    4647 Sunnfjord2282161542249168-106-89
    4648 Bremanger242246421322-30-12
    4649 Stad8676861086827-47-16
    4650 Gloppen504657674922-64-11
    4651 Stryn6559657613640-67-35
    1505 Kristiansund20719521728010373-63-2
    1506 Molde31131528236419292-19-42
    1507 Ålesund687667523698510210-108-154
    1511 Vanylven20163942126-333
    1514 Sande (Møre og Romsdal)181827314518-17-7
    1515 Herøy (Møre og Romsdal)756477994634-106-18
    1516 Ulstein848659933240-23-24
    1517 Hareid504745553019-21-13
    1520 Ørsta104921001195722-97-11
    1525 Stranda383549506726-38-16
    1528 Sykkylven584963854922-57-11
    1531 Sula9210169975915498
    1532 Giske879858904713913
    1535 Vestnes555165856327-38-8
    1539 Rauma595277813813-2210
    1547 Aukra333532383712192
    1554 Averøy464952725718337
    1557 Gjemnes2224253134583
    1560 Tingvoll2122353728171-4
    1563 Sunndal575075856148-81-42
    1566 Surnadal493962703911-850
    1573 Smøla171625281490-1
    1576 Aure242438442513-431
    1577 Volda115132941071044665-66
    1578 Fjord1719313316535
    1579 Hustadvika1201181091484919-366
    5001 Trondheim2 3512 4861 3101 9242 335378823-359
    5006 Steinkjer2081882412797977-156-29
    5007 Namsos1321221471705348-109-32
    5014 Frøya615943581564710-27
    5020 Osen6612131224
    5021 Oppdal615670847319-312
    5022 Rennebu19202932125-76
    5025 Røros504764744313415
    5026 Holtålen1613232612-77
    5027 Midtre Gauldal605860684120-63-8
    5028 Melhus17518612917811022-1120
    5029 Skaun839554861501138
    5031 Malvik142160811398723143
    5032 Selbu31334451512322
    5033 Tydal551112-12-14
    5034 Meråker192028322713103
    5035 Stjørdal22422218626810936-10359
    5036 Frosta23222634179266
    5037 Levanger20220116422010847-95-21
    5038 Verdal1401291311712517-7416
    5041 Snåase - Snåsa16122424-16-26-2
    5042 Lierne86161725-210
    5043 Raarvihke - Røyrvik336602-10
    5044 Namsskogan67121143-23
    5045 Grong182027281824-10-16
    5046 Høylandet77131222-8-3
    5047 Overhalla343434401510-23-6
    5049 Flatanger10912172512
    5052 Leka458812111
    5053 Inderøy565758811584513
    5054 Indre Fosen74691041204024-6618
    5055 Heim473964723421-62-5
    5056 Hitra535449627825201
    5057 Ørland10199981204616415
    5058 Åfjord373349532311-185
    5059 Orkland15815117522883255358
    5060 Nærøysund9884901049738-56-35
    5061 Rindal15132322-4-1-191
    1804 Bodø545511366527456170-290-164
    1806 Narvik18716521525220698-174-70
    1811 Bindal8719191353
    1812 Sømna1515202423-103
    1813 Brønnøy655665904921-74-7
    1815 Vega8715164313
    1816 Vevelstad35660240
    1818 Herøy (Nordland)171517243416-2-8
    1820 Alstahaug686266867744-69-35
    1822 Leirfjord202022291712-6-4
    1824 Vefsn1201011331508034-96-23
    1825 Grane1211171726-5-4
    1826 Hattfjelldal891616915-2-12
    1827 Dønna981519147-70
    1828 Nesna13181522252210-12
    1832 Hemnes3732525226112
    1833 Rana24020023028711862-184-42
    1834 Lurøy15142124174123
    1835 Træna55451555-4
    1836 Rødøy97131432-181
    1837 Meløy524065712820-74-13
    1838 Gildeskål12152430911265
    1839 Beiarn75151464101
    1840 Saltdal373050571927-21-13
    1841 Fauske - Fuossko8068971163224-584
    1845 Sørfold14142423113-63
    1848 Steigen2119303342984
    1851 Lødingen1213263015262-11
    1853 Evenes - Evenássi8101619207232
    1856 Røst327701-42
    1857 Værøy558964-5-1
    1859 Flakstad991517214-53
    1860 Vestvågøy11510310412810446-78-29
    1865 Vågan91838711117772-55-47
    1866 Hadsel756883979642-34-25
    1867 Bø (Nordland)19163938141067
    1868 Øksnes373144538529-27-17
    1870 Sortland - Suortá9888831137328-98-18
    1871 Andøy393455564722-5-12
    1874 Moskenes8814144211-2-3
    1875 Hamarøy19203137501690
    5401 Tromsø872864460727860256-532-344
    5402 Harstad23621321527118182-195-68
    5403 Alta24923314320417667-121-101
    5404 Vardø1615252718176-6
    5405 Vadsø514349636259-76-50
    5406 Hammerfest1161099111511164-101-66
    5411 Kvæfjord23263037151514-6
    5412 Tjeldsund3131505931144210
    5413 Ibestad7820202545
    5414 Gratangen77141614831
    5415 Loabák - Lavangen64131225-121
    5416 Bardu40463539501841-23
    5417 Salangen151622275428-21-20
    5418 Målselv61656171511642-15
    5419 Sørreisa292631392411-12-4
    5420 Dyrøy76141602125
    5421 Senja12911914217314578-81-47
    5422 Balsfjord464467726114-2216
    5423 Karlsøy161728343683111
    5424 Lyngen17163436186-147
    5425 Storfjord - Omasvuotna - Omasvuono131319271410141
    5426 Gáivuotna - Kåfjord - Kaivuono1513272849-134
    5427 Skjervøy262130293618-40-15
    5428 Nordreisa413646562512-512
    5429 Kvænangen8715166345
    5430 Guovdageaidnu - Kautokeino2722243136-32-6
    5432 Loppa671413177130
    5433 Hasvik891013693-1
    5434 Måsøy9915163010-50
    5435 Nordkapp252234381815-36-4
    5436 Porsanger - Porsángu - Porsanki3129405116-99
    5437 Kárásjohka - Karasjok24192531-13-280
    5438 Lebesby991516189-8-1
    5439 Gamvik89111524200-8
    5440 Berlevåg88111398-5-3
    5441 Deatnu - Tana242331361610-71
    5442 Unjárga - Nesseby67111235-51
    5443 Båtsfjord211917244826-37-23
    5444 Sør-Varanger10196861128255-113-46
    Explanation of symbols

About the statistics

Regional population projections are calculations of how the population in Norway will potentially develop over time, given different assumptions about fertility, mortality, internal migration, immigration and emigration. Read about results, methods and assumptions in the relevant report (in Norwegian).

A population projection is an estimate of the future size and composition of a population, typically given certain assumptions of future fertility, life expectancy, domestic migration, immigration and emigration.

To demonstrate that population projections are uncertain, Statistics Norway publishes several projection alternatives. The MMMM alternative which assumes the medium level for each component is what we assume to be most plausible at the time of projection.

The variables and terms used in the population projections are described in the projections' report.

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Name: Regional population projections
Topic: Population

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Research department, Unit for Public Economics and Demographic Models

The lowest regional levels for the population projections are municipalities.

The population projections are published biennially.

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The population projections utilize aggregated individual level data on population size, births, deaths and migration from Statistics Norway’s population statistics. The results from the projections are stored in the StatBank at Statistics Norway and as separate files. Aggregated data may be downloaded electronically from the StatBank.

The population projections aim at informing planning and public debate on population issues.

SSB has produced population projections regularly since the 1950s. Previous population projections can be found here, and in the StatBank.

The most important users of Statistics Norway's population projections are public and private planning bodies at the municipal, county and central government levels, as well as journalists, researchers, politicians and the general public.

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To project the population, assumptions are needed on future fertility, mortality, internal migration and international migration. After the assumptions are made, the Norwegian population is projected using the cohort component models BEFREG.

The methods used are further described in the projections' report.

The population projections utilize aggregated individual level data on population size, births, deaths and migration from Statistics Norway’s population statistics. We use data categorized by age, sex and place of residence for 1 January each year, in addition to figures on births, deaths, domestic migration, immigration and emigration by age, sex and municipality/city district.

No samples are used. The projections utilize the whole population in estimations.

The methods used in the population projections are further described in the projections' report.

See the projections' report.

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The regional population projections are not directly comparable across publications because of changes in methodology and regional borders.

There is a marked uncertainty about whether the assumptions used in making the population projections will accurately reflect future demographic trends. Over the past decade, future immigration has proven to be the most difficult component to project. This is also likely to be the case in the years ahead. Fertility, mortality and internal migration can also be very different from what was projected.

Models are simplifications of reality, and as such may only capture a few key mechanisms. This means that there are a multitude of other conditions that will affect population development which are not considered.

Errors in the population statistics system are usually modest in Norway and play a minor role in the projections

In summary, the uncertainty increases with time.

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Contact

Henvendelser om regionale framskrivinger

regfram@ssb.no

SSBs informasjonstjeneste

informasjon@ssb.no

(+47) 21 09 46 42