Lower growth, but high level continues
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Population1 January 2014, estimated figures



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In December each year, Statistics Norway calculates the projected population for the New Year. These figures will be published 18 December 2014 and are only applicable in the period from December to February, with final figures being published in February .

Lower growth, but high level continues

The population of Norway is expected to reach about 5 109 000 persons by the end of 2013. This figure represents a population growth of 57 800 persons, 7 600 lower than the year before, and the lowest since 2007.

Estimated population growth and population. The whole country and the ten largest municipalities.
Population January 1st, finale fuguresEstimated population growthEstimated population 31st DecemberEstimated population growth. Per cent
The whole country5 051 27557 7695 109 0441.1
Fredrikstad76 80777777 5841.0
Bærum116 6771 956118 6331.7
Oslo623 96610 280634 2461.6
Drammen65 47367766 1501.0
Kristiansand84 4761 55586 0311.8
Sandnes70 0461 93971 9852.8
Stavanger129 1911 597130 7881.2
Bergen267 9504 051272 0011.5
Trondheim179 6922 425182 1171.3
Tromsø70 3581 26971 6271.8

The population growth of 57 800 will still be approximately twice as high as during the years from 1973 to 2003. From 2005, the population growth has totalled approximately 500 000 persons.

Highest share of population growth due to net migration from abroad

68 per cent of the population growth will come from migration surplus from abroad, and 32 per cent will be due to the birth surplus.

A migration surplus from abroad of 40 200 will be 7 000 lower than in 2012, and around 2 600 lower than the average for the last seven years, but much higher than during the years preceding 2006. Before 1970, there was sometimes a migration loss to abroad.

A birth excess of 17 600 will be 600 lower than in 2012, and lower than the years since 2008, but at the same level as, and somewhat higher than, the twenty years before that. For part of the 1980s, the figure was very low, and in 1985 not higher than 6 800.

Continuing growth in central populated areas

Population growth in the big cities and central areas continues. Some 60 per cent of the growth takes place in the four counties Oslo, Akershus, Rogaland and Hordaland. Oslo will have a growth of 10 300 persons, 400 fewer than last year.

About the estimationOpen and readClose

The population is estimated for the country as a whole and at county and municipality level. It is based on information from the population register, using data on births, deaths and migration up to 1 December 2013. The population growth in December is estimated using approximately the same relative growth as in December 2012. If the level of births, deaths and migration changes markedly in December this year compared to last year, the population will vary correspondingly.

For some municipalities, estimated figures as of 1 January 2014 may thus seem to break with the trend so far this year, but this is due to the estimation method used. This is especially visible in small municipalities, where the figures must be regarded as a preliminary estimate.

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