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  1. A probabilistic forecast of the immigrant population of Norway

    A probabilistic forecast of the immigrant population of Norway We present a probabilistic forecast for the immigrant population of Norway and their Norwegian-born children (“second generation

    Discussion paper / / Population

  2. Trade conflicts will not curb growth in the Norwegian economy

    . The assumption in the forecasts is that trade restrictions will persist throughout the forecast period, up to the end of 2028

    Article / / National accounts and business cycles

  3. Trade conflicts reduce interest rates in Norway

    Economic trends for Norway and abroad. Economic forecast up to 2028 Trade conflicts reduce interest rates in Norway Lower interest rates, continuing

    Article / / National accounts and business cycles

  4. Oil investment estimate for 2025 upward adjusted

    . The investment forecast for 2025 indicates a growth of 9 percent compared to the corresponding forecast for 2024, given in the 2nd quarter of last year. Figure 4

    Article / / Energy and manufacturing

  5. Getting Back on Track: Forecasting After Extreme Observations

    Getting Back on Track: Forecasting After Extreme Observations This paper examines the forecast accuracy of cointegrated vector autoregressive models when

    Discussion paper / / National accounts and business cycles

  6. The economic standstill in Norway will end soon

    Economic trends for Norway and abroad. Economic forecast up to 2027 The economic standstill in Norway will end soon Going forward, activity in the

    Article / / National accounts and business cycles

  7. Increased purchasing power for households boosts the Norwegian economy

    Economic trends for Norway and abroad. Economic forecast up to 2027 Increased purchasing power for households boosts the Norwegian economy Wage and

    Article / / National accounts and business cycles

  8. Oil investment estimate for 2025 upward adjusted

    . For more details about total investments, please see this article. Marginal increase in the forecast for 2024 The investments in oil and gas extraction

    Article / / Energy and manufacturing

  9. Up-adjusted estimates for oil investments in 2025

    8.5 per cent, while corresponding growth in the 4th quarter of last year was 10.4 per cent. The current annual forecast therefore assumes higher growth from the 3rd to the 4th quarter than normal

    Article / / Energy and manufacturing

  10. High inflation leads to downturn in Norwegian economy

    . In June, Statistics Norway forecast that the Norwegian economy would enter a moderate boom during the course of the year

    Article / / National accounts and business cycles

  11. Highest real wage growth in over ten years

    Economic trends for Norway and abroad. Economic forecast up to 2027 Highest real wage growth in over ten years Strong profitability in the industrial

    Article / / National accounts and business cycles

  12. Prospects of lower inflation

    . The Norwegian krone has strengthened since June when Statistics Norway presented the previous forecast

    Article / / National accounts and business cycles

  13. Real wage growth expected in 2024

    Economic trends for Norway and abroad. Economic forecast up to 2027 Real wage growth expected in 2024 Increased profitability in certain industries will stimulate real wage growth in the years ahead

    Article / / National accounts and business cycles

  14. New estimates for oil investment indicate clear growth this year

    . The forecast for 2024 assumes strong growth in the second half of the year Investments in the first half of this year are 23 per cent higher than investments made in the first half of 2023

    Article / / Energy and manufacturing

  15. Norwegian economy facing turning point

    . ‘As a result, the forecasts for the economic activity of our trading partners have been adjusted upwards slightly since the last forecast, and overall it will be close to the estimated GDP trend

    Article / / National accounts and business cycles