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Found 34 results for "forecast" on the site

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  • Research seminar: Testing for Differences in Path Forecast Accuracy: Forecast-Error Dynamics Matter

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    Research seminar: Testing for Differences in Path Forecast Accuracy: Forecast-Error Dynamics Matter Speaker Andrew Martinez, Oxford University Date 11 June 2019 When 11:45 - 12

  • Business cycle analysis and forecast

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    Business cycle analysis and forecast Macroeconomic models and other methods are used to shed light on driving forces in the Norwegian economy over the short and medium term. Business cycle reports, including normally three- or four-year forecast, are published quarterly in Economic Survey

  • Predicting the exchange rate path

    The importance of using up-to-date observations in the forecasts

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    . We find that the date when the exchange rate forecast is based on is crucial and this finding should be taken into account when evaluating exchange rate forecastsDiscussion Papers no. 934 The importance of using up-to-date observations in the forecasts Predicting the exchange rate path Published

    Publication
  • Better times in sight, but situation remains serious

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    10.7, while the US dollar was priced at NOK 9.1. Our forecasts use unchanged exchange rates throughout the forecast period activity in the forecast period up to the level that would have been characterised as normal before the crisis

    Article
  • Marginal growth in oil investments for 2020

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    . 2021-estimates moderately upward adjusted The newest investment forecast for oil and gas extraction and pipeline transport for 2021 is estimated at NOK 148.6 billion. This is

    Article
  • Encompassing tests for evaluating multi-step system forecasts invariant to linear transformations

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    . An invariant measure for forecast accuracy is necessary as the conclusions otherwise can depend on how the forecasts are reported (e.g., as in level or growth rates). Therefore, a measure based on the prediction likelihood of the forecast for all variables at all horizons is used

    Publication
  • Deep economic crisis – but some bright spots in sight

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    9.7. Our forecasts use unchanged exchange rates throughout the forecast period. ¹ Corrected 5 June 2020, 09.07 a.m. from 11.4 to 11.3. Thomas von Brasch’ GDP to reach previous levels. Towards the end of the forecast period, which extends to 2023, we expect growth in the global economy to be significantly below what we would have characterised as a normal level before the crisis

    Article
  • A historic shift: More elderly than children and teenagers

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    year’s projections also include a stochastic projection. By presenting estimates from both deterministic projections and a stochastic forecast, we hope to. The results of the stochastic forecast are available in the StatBank. As well as the new products, the StatBank contains detailed results from this

    Article
  • 2020 estimates for oil investments marginally reduced

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    . For more details about total investments, please see the following article. Severe investment decrease indicated for 2021 The newest investment forecast

    Article
  • Abrupt standstill in the Norwegian economy

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    . This means that unemployment as measured by the LFS, which is what we forecast, will be significantly lower than the figures from the Norwegian Labour and Welfare Administration in the coming months. Accounts and forecasts To table The outlook for the Norwegian economy has changed completely in just a short time

    Article
  • Household energy use

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    . Studies aim to shed light on energy consumption growth; forecast energy use based on current policy, and evaluate the impact of various policy measures.

  • Economic Survey 3-2017

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    . The downturn appears to have bottomed out at the end of last year, but the upturn is a fragile one in that we forecast growth only slightly over trend in the near term. The downturn appears to have bottomed out at the end of last year, but the upturn is a fragile one in that we forecast growth only slightly over trend in the near term

    Article
  • Electricity supply contributed to investment growth in 2018

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    13.6 The most recent forecast for 2019 indicates a significant investment increase of 30 per cent compared with the corresponding figure for 2018. This is a normal trend in the forecast cycle, and is partly due to the fact that more establishments now have an investment budget available for 2019

    Article
  • Economic Survey

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    . It includes an analysis of recent trends in the Norwegian economy and a forecast two-three years ahead

  • Upturn in Norwegian economy continues, but with clouds on the horizon

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    will be weaker than was forecast in our last projection. Furthermore, the downside risk is still high, especially with regard to the course of the real economy. Main economic indicators 2009-2022. Accounts and forecasts. Percentage change from previous year unless otherwise noted To table Weaker growth trajectory

    Article