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    Found 34 results for "forecast" on the site

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    • Research seminar: Testing for Differences in Path Forecast Accuracy: Forecast-Error Dynamics Matter

      Published:

      …Research seminar: Testing for Differences in Path Forecast Accuracy: Forecast-Error Dynamics Matter Speaker Andrew Martinez, Oxford University Date 11 June 2019 When 11:45 - 12…

    • Business cycle analysis and forecast

      Published:

      …Business cycle analysis and forecast Macroeconomic models and other methods are used to shed light on driving forces in the Norwegian economy over the short and medium term…. Business cycle reports, including normally three- or four-year forecast, are published quarterly in Economic Survey…

    • Predicting the exchange rate path

      The importance of using up-to-date observations in the forecasts

      Published:

      …. We find that the date when the exchange rate forecast is based on is crucial and this finding should be taken into account when evaluating exchange rate forecasts…Discussion Papers no. 934 The importance of using up-to-date observations in the forecasts Predicting the exchange rate path Published…

      Publication

    • Better times in sight, but situation remains serious

      Published:

      … 10.7, while the US dollar was priced at NOK 9.1. Our forecasts use unchanged exchange rates throughout the forecast period… activity in the forecast period up to the level that would have been characterised as normal before the crisis…

      Article

    • Marginal growth in oil investments for 2020

      Published:

      …. 2021-estimates moderately upward adjusted The newest investment forecast for oil and gas extraction and pipeline transport for 2021 is estimated at NOK 148.6 billion. This is…

      Article

    • Encompassing tests for evaluating multi-step system forecasts invariant to linear transformations

      Published:

      …. An invariant measure for forecast accuracy is necessary as the conclusions otherwise can depend on how the forecasts are reported (e.g…., as in level or growth rates). Therefore, a measure based on the prediction likelihood of the forecast for all variables at all horizons is used…

      Publication

    • Deep economic crisis – but some bright spots in sight

      Published:

      … 9.7. Our forecasts use unchanged exchange rates throughout the forecast period. ¹ Corrected 5 June 2020, 09.07 a.m. from 11.4 to 11.3. Thomas von Brasch…’ GDP to reach previous levels. Towards the end of the forecast period, which extends to 2023, we expect growth in the global economy to be significantly below what we would have characterised as a normal level before the crisis…

      Article

    • A historic shift: More elderly than children and teenagers

      Published:

      … year’s projections also include a stochastic projection. By presenting estimates from both deterministic projections and a stochastic forecast, we hope to…. The results of the stochastic forecast are available in the StatBank. As well as the new products, the StatBank contains detailed results from this…

      Article

    • 2020 estimates for oil investments marginally reduced

      Published:

      …. For more details about total investments, please see the following article. Severe investment decrease indicated for 2021 The newest investment forecast…

      Article

    • Abrupt standstill in the Norwegian economy

      Published:

      …. This means that unemployment as measured by the LFS, which is what we forecast, will be significantly lower than the figures from the Norwegian Labour and Welfare Administration in the coming months…. Accounts and forecasts To table The outlook for the Norwegian economy has changed completely in just a short time…

      Article

    • Household energy use

      Published:

      …. Studies aim to shed light on energy consumption growth; forecast energy use based on current policy, and evaluate the impact of various policy measures. …

    • Economic Survey 3-2017

      Published:

      …. The downturn appears to have bottomed out at the end of last year, but the upturn is a fragile one in that we forecast growth only slightly over trend in the near term…. The downturn appears to have bottomed out at the end of last year, but the upturn is a fragile one in that we forecast growth only slightly over trend in the near term…

      Article

    • Electricity supply contributed to investment growth in 2018

      Published:

      … 13.6 The most recent forecast for 2019 indicates a significant investment increase of 30 per cent compared with the corresponding figure for 2018…. This is a normal trend in the forecast cycle, and is partly due to the fact that more establishments now have an investment budget available for 2019…

      Article

    • Economic Survey

      Published:

      …. It includes an analysis of recent trends in the Norwegian economy and a forecast two-three years ahead…

    • Upturn in Norwegian economy continues, but with clouds on the horizon

      Published:

      … will be weaker than was forecast in our last projection. Furthermore, the downside risk is still high, especially with regard to the course of the real economy…. Main economic indicators 2009-2022. Accounts and forecasts. Percentage change from previous year unless otherwise noted To table Weaker growth trajectory…

      Article