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Found 43 results for "forecast" on the site

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  • Ukraine war creating uncertainty in growing Norwegian economy

    Published:

    . ‘Our forecasts estimate growth in mainland GDP of 3.6 per cent this year, before falling to around 2 per cent for the remainder of the forecast period 2.1 of the forecast report, Statistics Norway has included an alternative calculation for how the Norwegian economy will be impacted if the war becomes more protracted

    Article
  • High inflation and higher interest rates set to curb growth in the Norwegian economy

    Published:

    . Without the impending interest rate increases, inflation would probably have remained higher than the target inflation rate, and the Norwegian economy would have experienced a more significant boom than forecast throughout the forecast period.

    Article
  • Increased estimates for oil investments indicate a lower fall in 2022

    Published:

    . Upgraded estimate also for 2023 The newest investment forecast for oil and gas extraction and pipeline transport for 2023 is estimated at NOK 135.3 billion. This is

    Article
  • High inflation leads to downturn in Norwegian economy

    Published:

    . In June, Statistics Norway forecast that the Norwegian economy would enter a moderate boom during the course of the year. This is also contributing to the weaker growth outlook in Norway. Mainland GDP is forecast to increase by

    Article
  • 3% interest peak in the New Year

    Published:

    . ‘We have assumed a higher and more enduring course of inflation in the eurozone than in our previous forecast 4.4 per cent higher than in February 2020. Statistics Norway’s latest forecasts estimate significantly lower growth in the period ahead compared to developments so far this year

    Article
  • Significant increase in the estimate for oil investments in 2023

    Published:

    . Investments made also ended up higher than forecast in November for the categories fields on stream and pipeline transportation, while the remaining categories had lower investments than forecasted in November

    Article
  • Norwegian economy facing turning point

    Published:

    . ‘As a result, the forecasts for the economic activity of our trading partners have been adjusted upwards slightly since the last forecast, and overall it will be close to the estimated GDP trend. It nevertheless appears that the overall economic activity among Norway’s trading partners will remain close to trend throughout the forecast period

    Article
  • Weak krone means another year of real wage decline

    Published:

    0.6 percentage points higher than in the previous forecast report in March. CPI adjusted for tax changes and excluding energy products (CPI-ATE) is estimated at 6.0 per cent. However, if the krone remains at its current level, as forecast by Statistics Norway, both fiscal policy and the social partners will most likely adapt to the weakening krone over several years. See box

    Article
  • Increased oil investment estimate for both 2023 and 2024

    Published:

    . The forecast for 2023 assumes strong growth in the second half of the year Investments in the first half of this year are 15 per cent higher than investments made in the first half of 2022

    Article
  • Prospects of lower inflation

    Published:

    . The Norwegian krone has strengthened since June when Statistics Norway presented the previous forecast–9.5 per cent in the forecast period, which is up to the end of 2026. By comparison, the average annual interest burden was

    Article
  • Sharply up-adjusted estimates for oil investments in 2024

    Published:

    8.7 per cent, while corresponding growth in the 4th quarter of last year was 11.8 per cent. The current annual forecast therefore assumes higher growth from the 3rd to the 4th quarter than normal

    Article
  • Interest rate cuts next year due to abrupt halt in house building

    Published:

    Economic trends for Norway and abroad. Economic forecast up to 2026 Interest rate cuts next year due to abrupt halt in house building Higher interest. Looking ahead to 2026, the forecasts indicate a decline in inflation, with real wage growth rising to around 2 per cent in 2026

    Article
  • Real wage growth expected in 2024

    Published:

    Economic trends for Norway and abroad. Economic forecast up to 2027 Real wage growth expected in 2024 Increased profitability in certain industries will stimulate real wage growth in the years ahead’, says Thomas von Brasch. A stronger krone exchange rate and lower future prices for energy products than assumed in December have contributed to a downward revision of the inflation forecast for 2024 by 0.5 percentage points

    Article