Price decrease on energy goods

Published:

The price of electricity has steadily fallen during the spring of 2019, from the record breaking year of 2018. It continued this downward trend in June which, together with other energy products, contributed to a steep decline in the producer price index.

2018 was a year which saw unusually high electricity prices in Norway. A long and cold winter drove the demand on electricity up. An equally long and dry summer decreased the supply. So far, 2019 has had a different development in prices, and the spot prices in June were almost 38 percent lower than at the same time last year. This is directly reflected in the export price index in PPI. In the domestic market, the pricefall was reduced by a combination of prices subject to tax for the households and fixed prices for the industry. Nevertheless, the electricity prices were a major contributor to the decline of PPI by 4,9 percent. 

Figure 1. Price indices. 2015=100

Electricity, gas and steam PPI total
Jan. 2014 127.92 114.17
Feb. 2014 120.28 113.39
Mar. 2014 110.94 110.14
Apr. 2014 105.05 109.59
May 2014 102.95 108.62
Jun. 2014 100.28 109.08
Jul. 2014 110.76 108.49
Aug. 2014 117.27 107.74
Sept. 2014 124.51 107.73
Oct. 2014 116.1 107.52
Nov.2014 116.86 104.54
Dec. 2014 126.49 104.77
Jan. 2015 122.49 100
Feb. 2015 117.51 102.13
Mar. 2015 108.78 103.47
Apr. 2015 106.99 103.49
May 2015 99.6 103.43
Jun. 2015 82.8 103.74
Jul. 2015 71.06 101.35
Aug. 2015 79.74 97
Sept. 2015 89.29 96.82
Oct. 2015 104.39 97.37
Nov.2015 114.53 97.79
Dec. 2015 102.82 93.42
Jan. 2016 140.55 89.25
Feb. 2016 110.19 86.9
Mars.2016 115.89 88
Apr. 2016 115.7 88.66
May 2016 117.23 91.09
Jun. 2016 126.9 93.67
Jul. 2016 124.29 94.05
Aug. 2016 121.98 92.4
Sept. 2016 122.56 90.95
Oct. 2016 145.39 92.97
Nov.2016 166.86 95.3
Dec. 2016 146.2 100.2
Jan. 2017 140.91 100.52
Feb. 2017 143.2 103.25
Mar. 2017 140.41 102.18
Apr. 2017 137.75 100.04
May 2017 137.86 99.22
Jun. 2017 126.42 96.69
Jul. 2017 130.31 95.71
Aug. 2017 133.24 96.12
Sept. 2017 146.07 98.87
Oct. 2017 137.8 101.31
Nov.2017 153.48 104.59
Dec. 2017 154.51 107.57
Jan. 2018 158.32 110.93
Feb. 2018 177.4 108.11
Mar. 2018 190.39 108.66
Apr. 2018 178.11 112.25
May 2018 164.68 113.59
Jun. 2018 196.67 116.08
Jul. 2018 218.38 117.32
Aug. 2018 220.54 117.96
Sept. 2018 213.61 119.71
Oct. 2018 197.43 124.06
Nov.2018 213.99 120.18
Des. 2018 227.35 115.93
Jan. 2019 235.65 116.31
Feb. 2019 222.73 116.82
Mar. 2019 213.82 114.41
Apr. 2019 211.05 115.21
May 2019 208.25 114.07
Jun. 2019 191.47 108.53

Energy and metals pulled down

The last major increase in price of gas came in October 2018. Since then, the price has fallen by over 50 per cent, aided by yet another pricefall from May to June. The price of crude oil has, on the other hand, had a moderate increase during 2019, but fell by 13 percent from May to June. This fall, together with the pricefalls for electricity, metals and refined oil products, contributed to the large total decrease in PPI. 

Price increase for extraction services

Of the industries that had a positive contribution on the total index in June, one can mention services for extration of crude oil and natural gas. The price index for these services went up by over 11 percent this month. Equinor awarded contracts worth 2,5 billion NOK earlier this spring. Movements in this index are often closely related to signing of new contracts, and these awards may have been a contributing factor to the increase.