PPI continued to rise

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The Producer Price Index (PPI) rose by 0.4 per cent from January to February. Higher prices on crude oil and refined petroleum products contributed strongly to pull the PPI upwards. The price index of electricity went in the opposite direction.

The price index of extraction of oil and natural gas increased by 1.2 per cent from January to February. While the price of natural gas fell in February, the oil price went up by 8.7 per cent, according to new figures from the Producer price index. Reduced oil supply due to production cuts from the OPEC-countries was the main reason behind higher oil price. Production cuts are announced to continue throughout 2019. In addition, OPEC warns increased demand of oil in 2019. Conditions in both the supply and demand side can thus further strengthen the oil price.

 

Figure 1. Price indices. 2015=100

Crude oil Total PPI Refined petroleum products
Jan. 2015 87.2 100 93.5
Feb. 2015 103.9 102.1 96.6
Mar. 2015 105 103.5 104.2
Apr. 2015 110.6 103.5 107.4
Mai 2015 114.9 103.4 108.1
Jun. 2015 117.2 103.7 108.6
Jul. 2015 108.9 101.4 107.6
Aug. 2015 91.2 97 100.3
Sept. 2015 93.8 96.8 93.5
Okt. 2015 94.9 97.4 96.2
Nov.2015 93.2 97.8 95
Des. 2015 78.9 93.4 89
Jan. 2016 64.7 89.2 80
Feb. 2016 67.9 86.9 74.9
Mars.2016 78.5 88 76.7
Apr. 2016 82.6 88.7 81.9
Mai 2016 91.3 91.1 89.5
Jun. 2016 97.3 93.7 96.1
Jul. 2016 91.8 94.1 99.9
Aug. 2016 89.9 92.4 92.3
Sept. 2016 91.3 91 92.5
Okt. 2016 97.6 93 95.8
Nov.2016 91.7 95.3 99.4
Des. 2016 108.4 100.2 101.4
Jan. 2017 108.9 100.5 114.4
Feb. 2017 107.7 103.2 122.9
Mar. 2017 104.7 102.2 114
Apr. 2017 107.1 100 112.6
Mai 2017 102.1 99.2 107
Jun. 2017 92.3 96.7 101.5
Jul. 2017 93.3 95.7 97.4
Aug. 2017 95 96.1 100.8
Sept. 2017 101.5 98.9 111.6
Okt. 2017 106.4 101.3 118.7
Nov.2017 118.6 104.6 120.4
Des. 2017 122.9 107.6 132.3
Jan. 2018 127.3 110.9 132.9
Feb. 2018 118.2 108.1 128.3
Mar. 2018 121.1 108.7 123.9
Apr. 2018 131.2 112.3 125.8
Mai 2018 145.9 113.6 138.2
Jun. 2018 143.2 116.1 149.8
Jul. 2018 142.6 117.3 149.9
Aug. 2018 143.8 118 146
Sept. 2018 152.6 119.7 149
Okt. 2018 155.5 124.1 158.3
Nov.2018 129.9 120.2 156
Des. 2018 118.3 115.9 142.2
Jan. 2019 120.9 116.3 123.9
Feb. 2019 131.4 116.8 130.9

An important contribution in curbing the rise in the PPI came from electricity, which fell by 5.5 per cent from January to February. From January 2019 the distribution network tariff is included in the price index of electricity. Production and distribution is published as a total index for electricity supply in the domestic market, while the system price from Nord Pool is used for the export market. From January to February, the domestic price on electricity including distribution fell by 4.5 per cent, while export prices, which does not include distribution, fell by 15 per cent.

Higher prices within manufacturing

Manufacturing prices rose by 1 per cent from January to February, largely due to the rise in prices within the refining industry. Without this industry, the total manufacturing prices increased by 0,3 per cent.

Another industry with a reduction in prices from January to February was services related to mining and quarrying. From February 2018 to February 2019, prices went down 12 per cent within this industry.

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