This is an archived release.
Strong population growth expected
The new population projections for Norway to 2060 show that the population size is expected to grow, unless both net immigration and fertility decline significantly. The population will age rapidly, especially after 2013, and the population distribution is becoming more centralised.
A new method for projecting mortality yields life expectancies that are similar to those projected for 2002-2050. This results in approximately the same number of persons over age 67 but a lower number of the oldest-old, i.e. above 90.
The table below gives an overview of the assumptions.
|Overview of the assumptions for the projections. 2005-2060|
|Total Fertility Rate|
|Life Expectancy at birth: Men|
|Life Expectancy at birth: Women|
|Net immigration per year|
|2005||16 705||16 705||16 705||0|
|2010-||9 000||16 000||24 000||0|
|Domestic mobility: Expected umber of migrations|
over the life course 1
|1||Based on migration probabilities for 2000-2004 less about 7 prosent. In the low alternative the|
probabilities for ages 18-29 år are reduced by 40 per cent and in the high alternative increased by
Detailed figures can be found in the statistics bank of Statistics Norway.
- Table 1 Population 1 January. Registered 2005. Projected 2006-2060 in twelve variants. 1 000
- Table 2 The number of births and deaths. Absolute and relative population growth. Registered 2004. Projected 2005-2060, by three variants
- Table 3 Population by age per 1 January. Registered 2005. Projected 2006-2060