Decline in government financial assets

Published:

General government net financial assets declined by approximately NOK 268 billion in 2018. The reduction is mainly explained by negative returns on the Government Pension Fund’s equity investments.

By the close of 2018 general net financial assets were NOK 9 918 billion. This constitutes as decline of NOK 268 billion since 2017. While central government net assets exceeded NOK 10 trillion, local government recorded a net debt of NOK 145 billion.

Figure 1. General government net financial assets

Net financial assets, closing balance
1996 466
1997 595
1998 669
1999 772
2000 1067
2001 1365
2002 1275
2003 1560
2004 1861
2005 2432
2006 2997
2007 3284
2008 3235
2009 3752
2010 4250
2011 4470
2012 5014
2013 6374
2014 7827
2015 8877
2016 9029
2017 10186
2018 9918

Asset fluctuations largely driven by the Pension Fund

The asset decline owes largely to the reduction of the market value of the Government Pension Fund Global. Despite a weaker krone combined with positive returns on its real estate and fixed income investments, a significantly negative return on its equity investments reduced the Fund’s market value from NOK 8 488 billion to NOK 8 256 billion in 2018. 

Because of the Pension Fund’s dominance in government asset holdings, the distribution of investment objects is largely determined by the Fund’s investment strategy. At the end of 2018 the Fund’s asset allocation was 66.3 per cent equities, 3.0 per cent unlisted real estate and 30.7 per cent fixed income.  

Figure 2. Central government financial assets

Q1-2010 Q2-2010 Q3-2010 Q4-2010 Q1-2011 Q2-2011 Q3-2011 Q4-2011 Q1-2012 Q2-2012 Q3-2012 Q4-2012 Q1-2013 Q2-2013 Q3-2013 Q4-2013 Q1-2014 Q2-2014 Q3-2014 Q4-2014 Q1-2015 Q2-2015 Q3-2015 Q4-2015 Q1-2016 Q2-2016 Q3-2016 Q4-2016 Q1-2017 Q2-2017 Q3-2017 Q4-2017 Q1-2018 Q2-2018 Q3-2018 Q4-2018
Shares 2311.872 2202.668 2330.238 2529.532 2569.458 2489.571 2260.940 2568.025 2788.571 2707.534 2886.004 2956.944 3276.540 3393.399 3673.367 3852.985 3895.608 4171.144 4176.663 4683.901 5205.906 5160.073 4959.427 5360.817 5007.656 5080.998 5110.871 5569.772 5909.397 6043.467 6170.337 6668.413 6396.115 6658.873 6874.295 6478.023
Long term bonds 1197.055 1288.516 1306.756 1326.045 1324.403 1301.370 1427.333 1400.822 1377.622 1450.912 1516.262 1521.819 1575.358 1654.387 1704.887 1932.700 1985.729 2112.034 2109.047 2399.513 2531.773 2464.775 2688.943 2738.398 2712.368 2811.591 2692.516 2716.719 2712.174 2752.270 2639.765 2717.768 2651.797 2668.542 2645.161 2669.435
Loans 654.758 697.667 693.279 718.627 767.656 824.330 722.108 519.222 578.311 582.837 579.729 541.428 616.207 617.095 663.007 613.180 595.591 576.532 581.809 562.238 589.153 609.357 675.133 657.715 657.708 679.256 671.993 670.157 727.385 693.548 721.041 729.215 792.621 764.525 758.167 812.182
Other accounts receivable 698.496 757.440 771.219 682.448 757.200 746.728 835.887 660.896 766.569 773.952 767.164 743.170 820.323 809.744 796.168 746.582 831.535 816.532 829.788 897.770 982.613 941.765 968.516 951.240 991.800 986.305 992.845 982.621 1104.654 1070.126 1038.351 1033.062 1054.738 1082.588 1100.880 1114.496

The large nominal changes in government assets are mainly driven by exchange rate fluctuations and the government’s equity investments. These fluctuations can amount to hundreds of billions in the course of a quarter. The Pension Fund suffered a negative return of NOK 485 billion on its investments, while a depreciation of the krone resulted in an exchange rate gain of NOK 224 billion. Meanwhile, central government surplus increased so as to allow for a net transfer to the Fund.

Figure 3

Figure 3. Change in market value, Government Pension Fund Global

Continual growth in local government debt

Local government debt has increased sharply since the turn of the millennium. The increase is mainly due to large-scale investments in the municipalities. Investments have been the highest in areas such as road projects, compulsory schooling, health care, public housing, and water and sewerage. The debt grew somewhat more slowly in 2016 and 2017 than in the preceding years, but accelerated again in 2018, growing by 5.3 per cent.