Discussion Papers no. 625

The role of the wage-price spiral

Macroeconomics stability or cycles?

We derive aggregate supply (AS) relationships for an intermediate-run macro model.The wage-price spiral provides the conceptual framework for a synthesis of different contesting theoretical and empirical perspectives on the AS curve: the Phillips curve model (PCM) and the wage-price equilibrium correction model (WPECM). The generalized AS curve is grafted into a small macro model. We analyze stability conditions, steady states, and dynamic solutions, using a combination of algebra and simulations. The specification of the AS curve, as a PCM or a WPECM, is shown to be important for all aspects of the model's solution, but within each model also the detailed parameterization is of qualitative importance. For example, endogenous cyclical fuctuations are typical for both nominal and real variables, e.g. inflation and unemployment.

Om publikasjonen

Tittel

Macroeconomics stability or cycles?. The role of the wage-price spiral

Ansvarlige

Dag Kolsrud, Ragnar Nymoen

Serie og -nummer

Discussion Papers no. 625

Utgiver

Statistics Norway

Emne

Discussion Papers

Antall sider

42

Målform

Engelsk

Om Discussion Papers

Discussion papers comprise research papers intended for international journals and books. A preprint of a Discussion Paper may be longer and more elaborate than a standard journal article as it may include intermediate calculations, background material etc.

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