Discussion Papers no. 418

Effects of demographic development, labour supply and pension reforms on the future pension burden

A much higher old-age dependency ratio together with more generous pension benefits will lead to a substantial increase in the future pension burden in Norway. The challenges of financing the increasing pension expenditures depend on the development in demographic characteristics like fertility, mortality and immigration, as well as characteristics affecting supply of labour, like education, disability, retirement age, participation rates and part time work (especially for women), and the design of the pension system. By use of a dynamic micro simulation model the paper analyses and projects how these factors will affect the expenditures and financing of the Norwegian National Insurance Scheme. The model also allows analyses of distributional effects of pension reforms.

Om publikasjonen

Tittel

Effects of demographic development, labour supply and pension reforms on the future pension burden

Ansvarlige

Dennis Fredriksen, Nils Martin Stølen

Serie og -nummer

Discussion Papers no. 418

Utgiver

Statistics Norway

Emne

Discussion Papers

Antall sider

29

Målform

Engelsk

Om Discussion Papers

Discussion papers comprise research papers intended for international journals and books. A preprint of a Discussion Paper may be longer and more elaborate than a standard journal article as it may include intermediate calculations, background material etc.

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