Table

Population projections. Key figures
 Registered 20171Projected main alternative (MMMM)2
 202020402060
1Total population registered per January 1 2018.
2Each alternative is described by four letters in the following order: fertility, life expectancy, internal migration and immigration. M = medium, L = low and H = high. As projected numbers are inherently uncertain, they have been rounded.
3The life expectancy estimates are somewhat lower in the projections than in the genereal population statistics, as the projections estimate life expectancy based on age at the end of the year and not at time of death. Furthermore, the formula used to estimate death rates is also slightly different, as we employ an exponential model in the projections.
4The numbers for immigration and emigration in the projections do not include multiple moves to and from Norway during the same year for an individual. The numbers are thus lower than the immigration and emigration numbers in the general population statistics. The numbers for net migration are, however, comparable.
Total population5 295 6195 367 7006 056 2006 510 100
Deaths40 77440 80053 60063 000
Life expectancy at birth men380.981.685.488.4
Life expectancy at birth women384.384.787.890.3
Live births56 63357 40063 90065 900
Total fertility rate1.621.601.761.76
Immigration456 40051 40048 90049 000
Emigration435 05832 20031 60031 900
Net migration21 34219 20017 30017 100